BMIE Market 34229

Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±895 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,192 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,167 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	65.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,196 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±902 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$692,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73,091 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34229
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+70.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+112.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+325.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.8	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.5	68	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	89.5	89	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,495	66	40%	+26.6
Median household income (ACS)	103,657	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	3,653	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.7	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	7,495	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	103,657	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	54.6	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	112.5	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Seafood 6 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1 Hot Cookie and Ice Cream Osprey	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	1066 S Tamiami Trl	open
AROMA	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	220 Patterson Ave	open
Bay Leaf Osprey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1092 S Tamiami Trl	open
Beckham's Osprey Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1272 Tamiami Trl	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	163 S Tamiami Trl	open
Bologna Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	Bay Street Village	open
Bologna Cafe Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3983 Destination Dr	open
By The Bay Bistro	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3976 Destination Dr #103	open
Casey Key Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	801 Blackburn Point Rd	open
Charleens Cafeteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cuban	580 Blackburn Point Rd	open
Chef Rolf's New Florida Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · European	1660 S Tamiami Trl	open
Chick -N- Nooga	Quick service · Food truck	Chicken / wings		open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1314 S Tamiami Trl	open
Clever Monkey Craft Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1272 S Tamiami Trl	open
Converve Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3976 Destination Dr Unit 201	open
Cool Breeze Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	11 S Tamiami Trl	open
Crystal Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	157 N Tamiami Trail	open
Da Vinci German Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	German / Eastern European · Coffee	1080 S Tamiami Trl	open
Deep Lagoon Seafood and Oyster House Deep Lagoon Seafood & Oyster House - Ft. Myers, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	482 Blackburn Point Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6 North Tamiami Trail	open
Evie's at Spanish Point - The Tiki	Bar		135 Bayview Dr	open
Evie's on the Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)		131 Bayview Dr	open
Frankie's Italian Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1072 S Tamiami Trl	open
Kahwa Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1308 S Tamiami Trl	open
Kiku Sushi and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1254 S Tamiami Trl	open
Local Pizza LOCAL Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	66 N Tamiami Trl	open
Mad Moe's Pub & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		106 N Tamiami Trail	open
Max's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	115 S Tamiami Trl	open
Mitchell Management Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 S Tamiami Trl	open
Morgan's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1660 S Tamiami Trl	open
Not Only Cheese Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3983 Destination Dr Unit 102	open
Rincón Nicaragüense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	700 S Tamiami Trl	open
Rosebud's Steak and Seafood House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	2215 S Tamiami Trl	open
Rosy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1270 S Tamiami Trl	open
Spanish Pointe Marina	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	135 Bayview Dr	open
Sqeeterville at Casey Key Tiki bar	Bar		Blackburn Point Rd	open
Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3983 Destination Dr	open
Thai Hot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1080 S Tamiami Trl	open
The O Bar	Bar · Casual dining		748 S Tamiami Trl	open
The Point Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	131 Bayview Dr	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	295 S Tamiami Trail	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1350 S Tamiami Trl	open
Bella Vino & Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3983 Destination Dr	closed
Dellicopters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		147 N Tamiami Trl	closed
Good Day Cafe	Café	Coffee	1092 S Tamiami Trl	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	8	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	7	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	7	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	9	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	10	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	10	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	10	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	11	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	10	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	8	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	14	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	17	13	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34229. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34238	3.2 mi	27	2023
34275	4.7 mi	27	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.