BMIE Market 34480

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,910 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,068 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,203 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$282,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34480
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34480. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.9	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.9	84	35%	+29.4
Market Momentum Score	69.3	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,517	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	77,557	59	40%	+23.5
Households (ACS)	8,910	83	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.0	88	25%	+22.1
Population (ACS)	23,517	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,557	59	20%	+11.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	30%	+28.5
20-year restaurant growth	1,300	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

Pizza 9 · Coffee 6 · American 4 · Caribbean 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Cuban 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Food truck 11 · Bar 10 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Other 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Eagle Tavern	Bar		9360 S US Highway 441	open
Annie Ruth’s wangs & thangs of Ocala	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Architect Cake Designs	Bakery	Bakery	3875 SE Lake Weir Ave	open
Arianna's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2496 SE 58th Ave	open
Baseline Bar & Grill Inc	Bar		1903 SE 58th Ave	open
Baseline Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8721 SE 7th Avenue Rd	open
Baseline Nutrition	Café	Coffee	8721 SE 58th Ave	open
Big Lee's - Serious About Barbecue	Food truck		3925 SE 45th Ct	open
C & D Coliseum	Bar		2490 SE 58th Ave	open
C&D's	Bar		2416 SE 58th Ave	open
Carraba's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Italian		open
Craig clark	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	8769 S US Highway 441	open
Crunchies and Munchies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	8721 Baseline Rd	open
De Corah Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	4596 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	5457 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4335 SE Maricamp Rd	open
English Dart Tavern	Bar		3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Florida Pizza Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8721 Se 58th Ave Unit 5	open
Flying Boat Tap Room LLC	Casual dining · Bar		9672 SE 58th Ave	open
Gator Dockside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Ghostriders Saloon	Bar			open
Grandma’s Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	5325 SE 14th Ct	open
Grateful Dogs LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6191 S Pine Ave	open
Hilltop BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5848 S Pine Ave	open
Impact Island Cafe	Café · Food truck	Caribbean · Coffee	1758 SE 58th Ave	open
Indian Pines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
J&d Latin Cravings	Food truck		3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Junkie Fries LLC	Food truck			open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5160 South Pine Avenue	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2780 SE 58th Ave	open
La Famiglia Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8721 SE 58th Ave	open
Labellas Italian Piatto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3909 SE Lake Weir Ave	open
Latin Guilty Pleasures	Food truck	Latin American (other)	9470 S US Highway 441	open
Lucky's Kitchen	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4596 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Marley's gourmet grille & catering co.	Food truck · Quick service		3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Morelli’s Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8721 Baseline Rd	open
Mr. Fry Guy - Mofongo Tripleta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	5848 S Pine Ave	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9470 US-441	open
Paradise Bakery & Cafeteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	4551 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Paradise Lounge	Bar		4596 SE Maricamp Rd	open
PURPS PUB	Bar		5105 SE 27th St	open
Rondina Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	61st Pl	open
Smokey Drew’s BBQ	Food truck	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1728 SE 58th Ave	open
Southern Pig & Cattle Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · American	4433 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Soyummy@ rolling green	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	1415 W Gleneagles Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5160 S Pine Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	8721 SE 58th Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1940 SE 58th Ave	open
Tacos Y Mas TACOS Y MAS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Taqueria Taco Rico	Food truck	Mexican	5848 S Pine Ave	open
The Sandwich Authority	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	8685 SE 58th Ave	open
Tropical Species	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Pizza · Caribbean	5848 S Pine Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	4611 SE Maricamp Rd	open
Wiki-licious Ocala	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	8721 SE 58th Ave #5	open
Woodys Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9360 S US Highway 441	open
Xtreme Shaved Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	3865 SE 58th Ave	open
Zella's Pizzeria & Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	9360 US-441	open
Scoobys Subs	Other	Sandwiches	8685 Se 58th Ave Ste B	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	2	—	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	1	1	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	1	1	—	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	5	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	8	4	1	1	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	6	2	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	9	6	2	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	7	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34480. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34420	4.4 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.