BMIE Market 34420

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,465 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,392 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±525 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,287 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,849 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34420
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+26.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 27–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34420. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.7	61	40%	+24.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	36.8	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,465	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	60,680	31	40%	+12.3
Households (ACS)	7,492	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	35%	+19.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.9	53	25%	+13.3
Population (ACS)	19,465	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	60,680	31	20%	+6.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.3	24	50%	+12.1
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	30%	+16.6
20-year restaurant growth	11.5	40	20%	+8.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 16 · Pizza 9 · Burgers 6 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Caribbean 3 · Cuban 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 16 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
441 Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10831 SE US Highway 441	open
Annie's Full Moon Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		13214 US-301	open
B D Bean's Coffee Company	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	5148 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Baja’s Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	12800 SE US Highway 301	open
Belleview Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5428 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Bumpers Pub	Bar · Casual dining		10837 SE US Highway 441	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5609 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Cancun Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5710 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5497 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Chicken Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean	10819 US-441	open
China Max	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10345 US-441	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		10356 SE US Highway 441	open
Comedy Club And Diner Food Wizards	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11007A SE 66Th terr	open
Daffies Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5710 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5830 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	6011 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Eaton's Beach Rentals	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5632 SE Abshier Blvd	open
El Guero Cafe	Café	American · Latin American (other) · Coffee	12180 SE US Highway 441	open
El Rodeo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10465 SE US Highway 441	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6147 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Farmhouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	11077 SE 57th Ct	open
Five Star Pizza Five Star Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10133 US-441	open
Fox Crossing Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		10932 E Hwy 25	open
Fox Crossing Tavern	Bar		10932 SR-25	open
Good Time Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		8921 E Highway 25	open
Goodfella's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10831 SE US Highway 441	open
Grace And Harmony	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4709 SE 102nd Pl	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5741 Se Abshier Blvd	open
Heald's BBQ Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	10715 SE US Highway 441	open
Ice Cream Madness	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5726 SE Agnew Rd	open
Kashmin's Kitchen - Caribbean Cuisine & Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	10915 SE US Highway 441	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5120 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Koolkat Saloon	Bar		9980 E Highway 25	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13491 SE Hwy 484	open
La cocina de Goyo LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	12426 US-441	open
Let's Make It Smart L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11797 SE US Highway 441	open
Los Chiles Mexican Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	Belleview Regional Shopping Center, 10303 US-441	open
Los Magueyes Belleview Los Magueyes Belleview	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10465 SE US Highway 441	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10301 S E US Highway 441, Unit 102	open
Mary's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5035 SE Abshier Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5515 Se Abshier Blvd	open
Monti Primo Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11008 SE 66th Terrace	open
Myriam's Bakery Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11056 SE 40th Ave	open
Opus Bar and Billiards	Bar		6666 SE 110th St	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6011 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Paradise Bakery and Cuban Food	Bakery	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Bakery	10133 US-441	open
Pasta Faire	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	10401 US-441	open
Pig - n - Whistle	Food truck	BBQ · Burgers	10314 US-441	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10738 US-441	open
Plaza Lunch, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10705 SE US Highway 441	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	10786 US-441	open
PRIMA MARKET TAQUERIA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	5717 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Pupusas Lissgaby Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	7655 SE 126th Pl	open
Pupuseria Mabelita's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12180 US-441	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	5198 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Riccardo's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	11783 SE US Highway 441	open
RJ's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10705 US-441	open
Rudy's Delicious Dawgs	Quick service	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	6041 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Salsa Boricua food truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Catering		5344 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11850 SE County Highway 484	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5239 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Sonnys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	Hwy 441	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10350 SE US Hwy 441	open
Steve's Famous PNuts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5803 SE Hames Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5516 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7590 E Highway 25	open
Sugar shack shaved ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	6430 SE 112th St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	10199 SE Hwy 441	open
The Cottage	Bar		9982 SE 64th Ave	open
The Mojo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5710 SE Abshier Blvd	open
The Mojo Grill & Catering The Mojo Grill & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4496 SE 100th Pl	open
The Pad	Bar		9982 SE 64th Ave	open
The Spoon Lagoon	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	5302 SE Abshier Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10410 Se Us Highway 441	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	10560 SE US Highway 441	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	10301 US-441	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	28	26	16	9	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	31	28	15	11	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	27	24	13	9	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	20	8	12	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	29	26	12	13	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	34	31	14	16	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	30	27	12	14	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	34	30	12	17	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	29	25	11	12	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	24	21	10	9	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	26	23	10	11	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	28	25	13	10	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	28	26	11	13	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	29	25	15	9	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	29	26	15	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	26	23	11	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	25	21	11	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	27	22	12	10	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	31	26	15	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	35	30	15	13	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	35	31	15	15	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	32	27	13	14	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	31	26	13	13	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	33	28	12	15	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	32	29	12	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34420. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34491	3.8 mi	16	2023
34480	4.4 mi	14	2023
34472	4.6 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.