BMIE Market 34491

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,915 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,454 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,487 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,305 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,221 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$274,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,971 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34491
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34491. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.6	72	40%	+28.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.5	68	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	77.2	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,318	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	66,679	42	40%	+16.7
Households (ACS)	14,470	93	20%	+18.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	35%	+17.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	33,318	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	66,679	42	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	30%	+15.3
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

American 14 · Bakery 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Cuban 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Artman Country Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	6900 CR-42	open
Bimbo Bakeries USA Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	15081 S US Highway 441	open
Blessed Bites Inc.	Dessert	Dessert	15646 SE 96th Ave	open
Blimpie	Quick service		17861 S US Highway 441	open
Bombay Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	17860 SE 109th Ave	open
Breakfast Club Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17350 SE 109th Terrace Rd	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	17961 S US Highway 441	open
Campo Azul Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	17860 SE 109th Ave	open
Creole 21	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	16580 S Highway 475	open
Crossroads Inn	Bar		16485 S US Highway 301	open
D J & Gina's Lounge	Bar		16535 SE 99th Ave	open
Dallas Inn Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		16860 US-301	open
Darrell's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	17350 SE 109th Terrace Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	17961 S US Highway 441	open
Donna's Dream Cakes and Creation	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	17075 US-301	open
Dragon Flower Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		11025 SE Highway 42	open
Entenmann's Bakery Outlet	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	16330 S US Highway 441	open
Francesco's Ristorante and Stone Fire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	16770 SE US Highway 441	open
Gramma's Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	13685 US-441	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	9945 SE Highway 42	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17860 SE 109th Ave Ste 624	open
Juanita's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
King Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	17860 SE 109th Ave #603	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	16481 S Us Highway 301	open
Latin Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Links Club at Spruce Creek South, 18050 SE 102nd Ter	open
Liberty Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13605 Del Webb Blvd	open
Little Joey's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	16840 S US Highway 441	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	17890 SE US Highway 441	open
Medisupport	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15151 S Us Highway 441 Ste 300	open
MIXX \| formerly Summerfield Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	17860 SE 109th Ave Ste 625	open
Miyako Japanese Steakhouse & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	17860 SE 109th Ave #619	open
Orange Blossom Inn	Bar		16286 US-441	open
Phở Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	17860 Se 109th Ave Ste 600	open
Piknic Table on 42	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	4600 SE Highway 42	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17860 SE 109th Ave. Marion	open
Poteet Little Homestead	Bakery	Bakery	9168 SE 142nd Pl	open
Rice & Beans BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	16580 S Highway 475	open
Sams St Johns Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	17860 SE 109th Ave	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11211 SE 178th Pl	open
Spruce Creek Restaurant Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17890 S Us Highway 441 # 27	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14870 S US 441	open
Sunset Delights	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14651 US-441	open
Suriel Lighthouse Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15960 S US Highway 441	open
Sweet Alps Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	17860 SE 109th Ave	open
The Anchor on Sunset Harbor	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	10135 SE Sunset Harbor Rd	open
The Links Club Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	18050 SE 102nd Terrace Suite 1	open
The Pizza Joint On Sunset Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10125 SE Sunset Harbor Rd	open
Tonys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13715 SE 31st Ave	open
Topper's Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13605 Del Webb Blvd	open
Villa Pinar Cuban Cafeteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	13685 US-441	open
Viva Mexico Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	17557 US-301	open
Walmart Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	17961 S US Highway 441	open
Wing Boss	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	17961 S US Highway 441	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	17860 SE 109th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	2	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	5	1	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	5	1	1	—	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	6	2	1	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	5	2	1	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	13	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	14	11	7	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	8	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	6	7	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	18	15	8	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	16	11	3	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	16	11	4	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	18	13	4	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	18	12	5	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	17	12	5	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	21	13	6	6	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	23	17	9	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	22	16	8	7	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	24	16	7	8	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34491. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34420	3.8 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.