BMIE Market 34653
Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 35,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±828 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 30,756 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,932 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $49,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 50.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,248 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $203,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34653 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +35.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +52.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +90.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 40–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34653. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 61.4 | 61 | 40% | +24.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.4 | 68 | 35% | +24.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 85.0 | 85 | 25% | +21.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 35,945 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 49,563 | 14 | 40% | +5.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,777 | 94 | 20% | +18.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52 | 85 | 35% | +29.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.6 | 70 | 25% | +17.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 35,945 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 49,563 | 14 | 20% | +2.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 35.7 | 86 | 50% | +43.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52 | 85 | 30% | +25.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
American 12 · Sandwiches 11 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 6 · Italian 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Burgers 3 · Breakfast 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 13 · Bakery 11 · Bar 11 · Dessert 10 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Star Latin Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7825 Congress St | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7125 State Road 54 | open |
| BAM Bar | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 8536 Old County Road 54 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7635 State Road #54 | open |
| Brewed Awakening backyard brewery | Bar | 6023 Oleander Ave | open | |
| Brisas Del Valle Florida | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Latin American (other) | 6809 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Brother's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6516 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Cafe Loft | Café · Coffee shop | American · Coffee | 6825 Trouble Creek Rd | open |
| Carmelita's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 8526 Old County Road 54 | open |
| Cayla's Cozy Corner | Bakery | Bakery | Van Buren St | open |
| Central Park Family Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7657 FL-54 | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6427 FL-54 | open |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · Hot dogs | 7415 State Road 54 | open |
| Corey's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6815 State Road 54 | open |
| Cricketers | Bar | 8525 Old County Road 54 | open | |
| Crust & Crumbs Sourdough | Bakery | Bakery | 6124 Spring Crayfish Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6405 FL-54 | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7202 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 7319 Plathe Rd | open |
| East Main Street Coffee and Sandwich Shop | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 6526 Main St | open |
| EL Cerrito Mexican Restaurant & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 6911 Congress St | open |
| Eva's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7643 State Road 54 | open |
| Famous Sal's Pizza Ll Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6516 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Ferro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7647 FL-54 | open |
| George's Pub | Bar | 6408 Rowan Rd | open | |
| Grandm a's Nutrition | Café | Coffee | 6837 State Road 54 | open |
| Home Saloon | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6502-6504 Massachusetts Ave #2730 | open |
| Hookers Hole Saloon | Bar | 7516 Congress St | open | |
| Jazzi’s Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 6153 State Road 54 | open |
| Jersey Boy's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8517 Old County Road 54 | open |
| K Krates LLC | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 6601 State Road 54 | open |
| KSplitz Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7272 FL-54 | open |
| L'Attitude 28 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mediterranean · American | 4148 Rowan Rd | open |
| La Alameda Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6520 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| La Cabania Del Tio La Cabana Home Style Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 6911 Congress St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6111 FL-54 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7226 State Road 54 | open |
| Mmmm Delicious Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 6817 FL-54 | open |
| Morty's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7534 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Mr.Donuts NPR | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery | 7202 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Nam Sushi 54 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7119 FL-54 | open |
| New China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6438 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| New Shanghai Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6133 State Road 54 | open |
| Panda Inc New Port Richey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7645 State Road 54 | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4120 rowan rd | open |
| Patriot Stogies, A Fine Cigar Lounge | Bar | 6153 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Penda Chinese Restaurant (PANDA) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7645 FL-54 | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7213 County Road 54 Pasco | open |
| Pop Goes The Party, Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 6817 State Road 54 | open |
| Railroad Subs & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7825 Congress St | open | |
| Rocky's Philly Cheesesteaks and Hoagies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 7286 State Road 54 | open |
| Rossi Ristorante Italiano | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 7254 State Road 54 | open |
| Run Away Pizza | Other | Sandwiches | 6823 State Road 54 | open |
| Sail Inn | Bar · Casual dining | 6143 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| San Miguel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7209 State Road 54 | open |
| Scottys on Wheels | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7202 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Starz Cafe Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6021 State Road 54 | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6436 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7231 State Road 54 | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | open | |
| Sugardarlings Cupcakes Sugardarlings Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 8511 Old County Road 54 | open |
| Sun Groves | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4131 Madison St | open |
| Suncoast Precision Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7602 Congress St Ste 1 | open | |
| Susie's Diner | Casual dining | American | 6476 Congress St | open |
| Susie's Too Family | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8010 Old County Road 54 | open |
| Suzettes Springers Saloon | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6408 Rowan Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 7575 State Road 54 | open |
| The Espresso Gallery & Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 6122 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| The Goose Full Liquor Bar | Bar | 8525 Old County Rd 54 | open | |
| Toast | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 7121 State Road 54 | open |
| Tops American Grill and Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 6403 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Typhoons | Casual dining · Bar | 8631 Old County Road 54 | open | |
| Vinny D's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7514 Congress St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7605 State Road 54 | open |
| Westside Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7810 US19 N. Port Richey | open |
| Whole Note Acres | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7324 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Zen Forrest | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4148 Rowan Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 27 | 14 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 13 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 12 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 14 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 14 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 30 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 34 | 16 | 17 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 36 | 16 | 18 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 36 | 15 | 19 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 38 | 13 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2022 |