BMIE Market 34690

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,137 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,835 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,401 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$177,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,399 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34690
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34690. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.2	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.9	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	37.3	37	25%	+9.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,498	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	49,401	14	40%	+5.7
Households (ACS)	5,274	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	12,498	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	49,401	14	20%	+2.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
April's DD Saloon	Bar		1838 US-19	open
Boyd’s Resort and Cafe Pasco Fl	Café	Coffee		open
Broken Yolk Inc Yolk.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	3350 Grand Blvd	open
Brooklyn Best Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4954 Moog Rd	open
China 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4645 Sunray Dr	open
Danny's Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3105 Grand Blvd	open
Fuhgeddaboutit Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Grape Expectations Winemaking Supplies and More	Winery / distillery / taproom		4730 Mile Stretch Dr	open
Hammerheads	Bar		1916 U.S. 19	open
Linda's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1932 U.S. 19	open
Pepsi-cola	Quick service		5406 Whipporwill Dr	open
Premier Assets Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2009 Arcadia Rd	open
Scoops and Sips Holiday	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	4649 Sunray Dr	open
Shangrila	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4607 Mile Stretch Dr	open
Smashyo Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	5448 Flora Ave	open
Sweet Creations By Christa, LLC	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	5129 Panorama Ave	open
T.J.'s Death Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3131 Bluebird Dr	open
The King's Seat Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3434 Grand Blvd	open
Timeless Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1533 Alert St	open
Uncle Mike's Lemonade	Food truck · Catering		5644 Auld Ln	open
Vfw Post 10167	Bar		4619 Bartelt Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4701 Sunray Dr	open
Brooklyn Joe's Italian Ices	Dessert	Dessert	4607 Mile Stretch Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	5	4	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	6	3	2	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	8	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	8	5	4	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	7	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	9	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	7	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34690. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34691	2.7 mi	14	2023
34652	3.4 mi	59	2023
34689	3.8 mi	76	2023
34653	4.2 mi	38	2023
34688	4.3 mi	3	2023
34655	4.5 mi	73	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.