BMIE Market 34654
Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,355 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,736 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,177 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,716 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,341 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±151 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $307,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,814 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 25.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34654 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +52.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +357.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 33–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34654. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.1 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.7 | 73 | 35% | +25.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 46.4 | 46 | 25% | +11.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,355 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,947 | 53 | 40% | +21.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,177 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 35% | +30.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.1 | 60 | 25% | +14.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,355 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,947 | 53 | 20% | +10.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.0 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 30% | +25.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 52.4 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
American 24 · Sandwiches 12 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 9 · Breakfast 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Quick service 24 · Bakery 11 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 9 · Café 8 · Dessert 8 · Specialty food shop 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5PM Moments | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 8528 Ridge Rd | open |
| @ Cafe coffee bar and deli | Café | Coffee | 7530 Little Road | open |
| Active Food Service Management, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · BBQ · American | 8515 Little Rd | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8537 Little Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8301 Little Rd | open |
| At Cafe West Pasco Judicial Center | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7530 Little Rd | open |
| Aunt Millie's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 9011 Little Rd | open |
| Bagel Queen | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 9037 Little Rd | open |
| Bam Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7611 Little Rd | open |
| Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8717 Little Rd | open |
| Bogey's Tiki Bar and Cigar Lounge | Bar | 8530 Pratt Dr | open | |
| Boulevard Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7507 Little Rd | open |
| Breakfast Station Breakfast Station Beverly Hills | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 9141 Little Rd | open |
| Breakfast Station | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 7335 Little Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12001 Decubellis Road | open |
| Cali Coffee Cali Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8110 Little Rd | open |
| CC Cakes & Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7611 Little Rd | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9754 Little Rd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 9754 Little Rd. | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9840 Little Rd | open |
| China Gate Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 11336 Ridge Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 8004 Little Road | open | |
| Chocolates By Michelle | Dessert | Dessert | 8637 Little Rd | open |
| Coming Soon - Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 12001 Decubellis Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9200 Little Rd | open |
| Deelightfully Gluten-free | Bakery | Bakery | 8647 Little Rd | open |
| Dirty Habit Infused Craft Cocktail Mix | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | open | ||
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 8406 Little Rd | open |
| Early Start Breakfast & Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 8536 Ridge Rd | open |
| Empire Winery And Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 11807 Little Rd | open | |
| Erik’s Eatery | Food truck | 9426 Little Rd | open | |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 8352 Little Rd. | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8124 Little Road | open |
| Foster Corporate Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8717 Little Rd | open | |
| Grace and Grains Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 9015 Sandusky Ln | open |
| Hilltop Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 9322 Little Rd | open |
| Hot Dogs Galore Philly Cheese Steaks And More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 7335 Little Rd | open |
| Hungry Feast | Buffet | Asian · Seafood | 9910 Little Rd | open |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 9109 Ridge Rd | open |
| Jeannie's Diner Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 7507 Little Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8263 Little Rd | open |
| Joey's New York Pizza & Italian Restaurant Joey's New York Pizzeria and Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 9830 Little Rd | open |
| JUST SMASH | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 9754 Little Rd | open |
| Kawa Japanese Steak House & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 8631-1 Little Rd | open |
| Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 9844 Little Rd | open |
| Kelly’s Roast Beef | Quick service | 8154 Little Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8242 Little Road | open |
| Kimberly Halsey A.P., D.O.M | Coffee shop | Coffee | 8604 Little Rd | open |
| LA MANSION | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 9742 Little Rd | open |
| La primera grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | Ridge Road | open |
| Leaven & Light cottage bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 12915 Mohican Ave | open |
| Little Greek Fresh Grill Little Greek Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 9818 Little Rd | open |
| Lucio's Breakfast Place | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7335 Little Rd | open |
| Mad Italian Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9123 Little Rd | open | |
| Magickal Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 12027 Terra Ceia Ave | open |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9338 Little Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 11367 Ridge Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9121 Little Rd | open |
| Mediterranean Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 8536 Ridge Rd | open |
| Mochinut New Port Richey | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert | Korean · Dessert | 9113 Little Rd | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 8512 Ridge Rd | open |
| Nick's Pizza Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9830 Little Rd | open |
| Oasis Coffee Spot | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 9213 Little Rd | open |
| Oceanside Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8515 Little Rd | open | |
| On The Rocks | Bar | 9125 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Overtime Sports Bar | Bar | American | 9410 Indale Dr | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8402 Little Rd | open |
| Power Blast Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 9205 Little Rd | open |
| R2 PUB | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 11022 Tee Time Cir | open |
| Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 8512 Ridge Rd | open |
| Rye Street Deli & Dogs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Hot dogs | 9822 Little Rd | open |
| Sandwich Hound | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7611 Little Rd | open |
| Shooters | Bar | 8404 Little Rd | open | |
| Slice of Life Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9123 Little Rd | open |
| Smoothie King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8406 Little Rd | open | |
| St Mark Investment, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9818 Little Rd | open | |
| Starz Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9826 Little Rd | open | |
| Stassi's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 11406 Ridge Rd | open |
| Stout's Cafe | Casual dining | American | 9205 Little Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 11332 Ridge Rd | open |
| Suncoast Sourdough | Bakery · Delivery-focused | Bakery | open | |
| Super China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8663 Little Rd | open |
| Tacos El Chapo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9247 Little Rd | open |
| The Bistro at the Campus Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 10230 Ridge Rd | open |
| The Links At River Ridge Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11022 Tee Time Cir | open | |
| The Point Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 11807 Little Rd | open | |
| The Urban Oak Grill and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 11406 Ridge Rd | open |
| Top China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9135 Little Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 8863 Little Rd | open |
| Upper Deck Restaurant Weeki Wachee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Vito Rose Bagels NPR | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 9820 Little Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 8745 Little Rd | open |
| Water Max N Ice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9129 Little Rd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8216 Little Road | open |
| White Duck Espresso White Duck Espresso | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8905 Little Rd | open |
| YesterDaze | Bar | 9107 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 11300 Ridge Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 9850 Little Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 11400 Ridge Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 39 | 14 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |