BMIE Market 34669

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,618 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,648 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,844 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,330 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$247,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34669
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34669. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.8	57	40%	+22.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.7	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	76.4	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,618	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,638	27	40%	+10.9
Households (ACS)	6,021	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	35%	+24.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	77	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	14,618	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	58,638	27	20%	+5.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	30%	+21.3
20-year restaurant growth	116.7	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All American Cheesesteaks and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	9837 State Road 52	open
Barbara's Cupcakes And Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	10214 State Road 52	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		14851 State Road 52	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	9055 State Road 52	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9014 State Road 52	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14851 State Rd 52	open
City Girl Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10341 State Road 52	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	14671 State Rd 52	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	13235 State Rd 52 Suite 105 Suite 105	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	9845 State Road 52	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	9935 State Road 52	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	12005 State Road 52	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	9322 SR-52	open
Governor's Lounge	Bar		10357 State Road 52	open
Hobbs Hideaway	Bar		9833 State Rd 52	open
Mac Daddy's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	11024 State Road 52	open
Mamma Mia Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10040 Hudson Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14751 State Road 52	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9441 State Road 52	open
Mermaid Lounge and Eatery	Casual dining · Bar		11024 State Rd 52	open
Nikos Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	14100 Hicks Rd	open
Palm Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14038 Hicks Rd	open
Presto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14038 Hicks Rd	open
Roadsidesnack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11050 State Road 52	open
Rockin Tiki Hut	Bar		11909 State Road 52	open
Rollin's Island Bar And Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	9831 State Road 52	open
Sakura Sushi Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	9400 State Road 52	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14851 SR 52 #A-102	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14106 US Hwy 19	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	9442 State Road 52	open
The Edge	Bar		13129 Colony Rd	open
Travelin' Tom's Coffee of New Port Richey	Café	Coffee	9408 Wildwood Ave # A	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	14685 STATE ROAD 52	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	14851 State Rd 52	open
Jr's Roadside Deli & Grill	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	9837 State Road 52	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	15	11	4	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	20	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	18	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	17	12	4	8	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	15	10	3	7	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	19	13	5	8	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34669. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34667	4.0 mi	45	2023
34654	4.2 mi	32	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.