BMIE Market 35054

St. Clair County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,101 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,064 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$347,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35054
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	8 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35054. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.9	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.8	47	35%	+16.4
Market Momentum Score	8.3	8	25%	+2.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,593	59	40%	+23.6
Median household income (ACS)	77,929	59	40%	+23.7
Households (ACS)	1,638	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	4,593	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,929	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

American 5 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Bar 7 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Coosa Cafe & Creamery	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	10140 US Highway 231	open
Coosa Creamery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Pizza · Dessert	1080 Coosa Island Rd	open
Courtyard Pell City	Bar		4300 Martin St S	open
Even Odds	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10191 US Highway 231	open
Fat Man's Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10179 Old US Hwy 231	open
Isabellas cocina & cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 Old Highway 231	open
Lakeside Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4600 Martin St S	open
Oh Sherri Island Pub Oh Sherri Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1095 Coosa Island Rd	open
Porky Pirate BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	1095 Coosa Island Rd	open
Sweet Home Saloon & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	10191 US-231	open
Taco Lane Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	136 Taco Ln	open
The Brook Besor	Coffee shop	Coffee	4204 Martin St S	open
The Tiki Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Burgers · Breakfast · American	79 Rabbit Branch Cir	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	3	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2023	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35054. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35128	3.5 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.