BMIE Market 35128

St. Clair County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,197 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,711 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,990 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$247,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	69.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35128
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.7	70	40%	+27.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.7	77	35%	+26.8
Market Momentum Score	77.2	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,546	72	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	83,990	67	40%	+26.8
Households (ACS)	4,169	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.7
Population (ACS)	10,546	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	83,990	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 6 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 5 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bella Vista Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1155 Walkers Crossing	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2028 Martin Street	open
Butts To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2600 Mays Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	2034 Martin St S	open
Dock's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2401 Stemley Bridge Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2504 Stemley Bridge Road	open
Good Ole Boys BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4209 Stemley Bridge Rd	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2401 Stemley Bridge Rd	open
Gregor’s Tavern	Bar		Powell’s Hideaway	open
Guadalajara Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1911 Martin St S	open
Guadalajara mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1905 Martin St S	open
Hostess Jo	Bakery	Bakery	264 Sequoyah Rd	open
Kami Thai Sushi and Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	2054 Martin St S	open
Las americas tienda mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1607 Martin St S	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	803 Martin St S	open
Mama Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1021 Martin St S	open
Mi Fiesta Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4221 Stemley Bridge Rd	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1025 Martin St S	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2401 stemley bridge rd	open
Papa Murphy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2054 Martin St S Ste D	open
Pell City Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	1605 Martin St S	open
Pell City Drive In Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		909 Martin St S	open
Sinners and Saints Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1448 Blackberry St N	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	909 Martin Street South	open
Southern Snow Shaved Ice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2500 Stemley Bridge Rd	open
Taco Tuesdays	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	606 Martin St S	open
The Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4905 Lee Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Trussville Tropical Smoothie Café Arkansas	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Wild Child Homestead	Food truck		2781 Roberts Mill Pond Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2040 Martin St S	open
Brittle Heaven & More	Bakery	Bakery	2500 Stemley Bridge Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	5	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	4	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35128. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35054	3.5 mi	3	2023
35052	4.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.