BMIE Market 35064

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,787 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,458 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,066 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$48,692 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,657 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$129,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,408 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35064
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35064. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.6	48	40%	+19.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.1	36	35%	+12.6
Market Momentum Score	19.8	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,872	71	40%	+28.2
Median household income (ACS)	48,692	13	40%	+5.3
Households (ACS)	3,787	70	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.5	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.2	60	25%	+14.9
Population (ACS)	9,872	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	48,692	13	20%	+2.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	-23.5	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 10 · Chicken / wings 5 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Burgers 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 11 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	666 Bessemer Super Hwy	open
Chongwah Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7201 Aaron Aronov Dr #27	open
Crown Sports Bar & Lounge	Bar		309 Crawford St	open
Del Mar Marisqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	7100 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7201 Aaron Aronov Drive Suite #30	open
Faces Lounge	Bar		7070 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Fairfield Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	3710 Richard M Scrushy Pkwy	open
Goudy Entertainment	Bar		4501 Gary Ave	open
HL Lounge	Bar		4510 Gary Ave	open
JJ Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	900 Milstead Rd	open
John's Place	Bar		4510 Gary Ave	open
J’s Pop-Up Shaved Ice	Dessert		414 North Plz	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7159 Aaron Aronov Drive	open
M & M Lounge and Event Center	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6704 Grasselli Rd	open
Magic City Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4610 Gary Ave	open
Milo's Hamburgers Milo's Original Burger Shop	Quick service	Burgers · American	6600 Ej Oliver Blvd	open
My Sweetheart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7070 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Off The Chain Hotdogs & Sliders	Quick service · Food truck	Hot dogs	3625 Lloyd Noland Pkwy	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6501 Aronov Dr	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7100 Aaron Aronov Drive	open
RED DOOR Lounge	Bar		5216 Donald Pkwy	open
Sarah Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7201 Aaron Aronov Dr Ste 27a	open
Shave Ice Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6501 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Sneaky Pete's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	7070 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6625 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Southern Flames Fairfield	Bar	American · BBQ	6501 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7201 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Sunnyside Lounge	Bar		4614 Gary Ave	open
Sweetspot	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7201 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Taqueria Salvatierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6403 E J Oliver Blvd	open
Tasty Jamaica LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	4407 Gary Ave	open
Urban Ice	Food truck		7100 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Urban Smoke Bar & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7100 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	636 Bessemer Super Hwy	open
West Side Bham Food Trucks	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7201 Aaron Aronov Dr	open
Wings & Stuff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	4012 Lloyd Noland Pkwy	open
Wings Heaven	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5605 E J Oliver Blvd	open
Wings Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	7201 Aaron Aronov Dr #27-A	open
Zodiac Lounge	Bar		5216 Donald Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	15	4	7	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	4	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	5	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	2	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	2	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	2	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	1	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	3	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	17	3	14	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	17	3	14	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	16	3	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	19	17	3	14	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	3	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	15	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35064. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35228	1.3 mi	11	2023
35061	1.6 mi	3	2017
35221	2.1 mi	3	2021
35218	2.7 mi	3	2023
35208	2.8 mi	23	2023
35211	3.2 mi	17	2023
35127	3.4 mi	3	2023
35224	3.9 mi	2	2016
35254	4.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.