BMIE Market 35211

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,924 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,870 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±717 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,236 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,095 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$34,884 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,030 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$96,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35211
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.2	53	40%	+21.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.0	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	66.8	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,924	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	34,884	4	40%	+1.5
Households (ACS)	11,599	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	24,924	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	34,884	4	20%	+0.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · African 2 · Asian 2 · Caribbean 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 11 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A-Train Express	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1515 Pearson Ave SW	open
American Ranch House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	636 Lomb Ave SW	open
Bar Oxmoor	Bar		305 Kingston Cir	open
BBQ Sam’s (B'ham)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	748 Lomb Ave	open
Birmingham Budweiser Distr Co	Bar		141 Industrial Dr	open
Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	112 W Park Dr	open
Boston Fish And Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	144 6th Ave SW	open
Butta's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
C&K Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		3313 33rd St SW	open
Cabo Coastal Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican	100 Frankfurt Cir Ste A	open
Cajun Bistro Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1515 Pearson Ave SW	open
Cakes by Kim Cakes by Kim	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	277 Lyon Ln #6407	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3052 Jefferson Ave SW	open
Cluck A Wing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood · Asian	1720 Dennison Ave SW	open
Corry's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3004 33rd St SW	open
Corry's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1800 24th St SW	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2806 Lakeshore Pkwy	open
Green Acres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	901-913 20th St SW	open
Green Acres West	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1749 Pearson Ave SW	open
HamBone’s Cafe of Love	Café	Coffee	16 1st Ave SW	open
Hong KONG City	Restaurant (service type not stated)		873 Dennison Ave SW	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2100 Montevallo Road Southwest	open
Lillie Mae's Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	1700 Pearson Ave SW	open
Magic City Krabs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1700 Pearson Ave SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	732 Lomb Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	801 Dennison Ave	open
N Yo Face Catering	Café	American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	942 Nassau Ave SW	open
Omkara Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 Princeton Ave SW	open
Overtime Grill and Bar	Bar · Casual dining		100 Frankfurt Cir	open
Panna Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		849 Dennison Ave SW	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service		100 FRANKFURT CIRCLE	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	100 Frankfurt Cir	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	873 Dennison Ave SW	open
Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	636 Lomb Ave SW	open
Saul's Kitchen & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1700 Pearson Ave SW	open
Southern Caribbean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1116 Lomb Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	619 19th St SW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	701 Princeton Ave SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	100 Frankfurt Circle Suite H	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	873 Dennison Ave, Suite 111	open
Tasty Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	873 Dennison Ave Sw Ste 105	open
The Gardens Cafe	Café	Coffee	11 W Park Cir	open
The Shop at 1417	Bar		1417 Pearson Ave SW	open
The Village Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean · African	873 Dennison Ave SW	open
TheShop Birmingham	Bar		1417 Pearson Ave SW	open
Tia's Lounge and Karaoke	Bar		135 Taft Ct Way SW	open
Unforgettable Restaurant & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1700 Pearson Ave Sw Ste 200	open
Vikings Queens	Bar · Quick service		2501 S Park Dr SW	open
Wages Social Lounge	Bar			open
West End Food Truck Park	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 14th St SW	open
Wings R King Wings R King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	2802 Lakeshore Pkwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2860 Lakeshore Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	1	11	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	—	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	—	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	1	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	2	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	1	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	—	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	1	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	—	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	—	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	1	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	1	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	15	2	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	17	4	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	17	5	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	16	4	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	15	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	14	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	14	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	17	—	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	17	3	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	—	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	—	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35211. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35221	1.8 mi	3	2021
35208	2.9 mi	23	2023
35228	3.1 mi	11	2023
35064	3.2 mi	13	2023
35209	3.4 mi	132	2023
35218	3.8 mi	3	2023
35254	4.1 mi	1	2016
35226	4.3 mi	29	2023
35229	4.3 mi	1	1997
35205	4.4 mi	43	2023
35061	4.7 mi	3	2017
35204	4.8 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.