BMIE Market 35204

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,072 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±444 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,337 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,002 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$35,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,750 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$89,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35204
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-17.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35204. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.5	44	40%	+17.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	67	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,953	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	35,420	4	40%	+1.6
Households (ACS)	4,159	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	8,953	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	35,420	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	7.7	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

American 10 · Chicken / wings 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 18 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
12 Twenty 5	Bar		1157 Bankhead Hwy W	open
Another Level Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	541 Graymont Ave W	open
BackPorch BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2529 16th St N	open
Bitmingham Alabma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies		open
Blu 35204	Bar		615 8th Ave W	open
Boston Fish Supreme	Restaurant (service type not stated)		814 3rd Ave W	open
Bravo Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		215 3rd Ave W	open
Bumpers Grills	Casual dining · Bar	American	8 2nd Ave N	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	801 3rd Ave W	open
Captain D's	Quick service		1133 3rd Ave W	open
Carter's Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2520 16th St N	open
Carters Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	512 Reverend Abraham Woods Jr Blvd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1145 3rd Avenue West	open
Chynchylya Cigar Room	Bar		610 3rd Ave W	open
Club Flight	Bar		714 8th Ave	open
Cochran Lounge	Bar		2604 16th St N	open
Deuces Lounge & Event Center	Bar		1016 3rd Ave W	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		901 Bankhead Highway	open
Eagle's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2610 16th St N #1204	open
Farmers Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		348 Finley Ave W	open
Fever's Grill and Juice Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1001 3rd Ave W	open
Handy Candy	Dessert		444 Finley Ave W	open
Hong Kong Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chinese	1101 3rd Ave W	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1217 26TH Ave N	open
KinFolks Grille & Catering	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1000 3rd Ave W	open
KJ's Wings and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	1159 Bankhead Hwy W	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	800 3rd Ave W	open
Lot Lizard Lounge	Bar			open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1700 Finley Blvd	open
Niki's West	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	233 Finley Ave W	open
Northside Lounge	Bar			open
Pizza Tyme	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	734 Graymont Ave W	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1717 Finley Blvd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	725 11th Ct W	open
RICH LIFE Branding	Bar		400 2nd Ave N	open
Rome Kitchen Grill Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 Reverend Abraham Woods Jr Blvd	open
Shark's Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	814 3rd Ave W	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1200 Bankhead Hwy W	open
Supreme Eats	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar	American	541 Graymont Ave W	open
Taqueria La Herradura	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	344 Finley Ave W	open
Tea Cakes Plus	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	721 24th Ave W	open
The Barrel Boyz Lounge. by Tax Plus	Bar		814 6th St W	open
The Prive	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		610 3rd Ave W	open
Thirty 5 Bar & Grill	Bar		512 Reverend Abraham Woods Jr Blvd Suite B	open
Times Square Bar & Grill	Bar		518c Rev Abraham Woods	open
Touchdown Cafe	Café · Quick service	Coffee · American	501 Graymont Ave W	open
Trackside Lounge	Bar		300 12th Ave W	open
Tropical Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	504 Arkadelphia Rd	open
Wayne's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1142 3rd Ave W	open
Wendy's	Quick service		901 Bankhead Hwy W	open
Wingout Express	Quick service		1001 Bankhead Hwy W	open
Wings & Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Asian	734 Graymont Ave W	open
Wings R Kings Express LLC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1137 Arkadelphia Rd	open
Yo Chef Surf And Turf Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2201 4th Pl W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	14	6	6	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	15	4	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	14	4	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	3	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	17	11	2	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	2	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	19	15	3	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	2	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	16	4	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	4	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	2	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	2	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	2	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	3	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	13	2	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	2	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	1	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	14	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	14	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35204. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35254	0.9 mi	1	2016
35203	1.8 mi	53	2023
35249	2.4 mi	—
35233	2.4 mi	70	2023
35234	2.5 mi	10	2023
35205	2.6 mi	43	2023
35208	2.8 mi	23	2023
35218	3.2 mi	3	2023
35207	3.3 mi	2	2016
35222	4.1 mi	17	2023
35209	4.3 mi	132	2023
35214	4.5 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.