BMIE Market 35214

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,592 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,383 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$164,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35214
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-13.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35214. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.9	57	40%	+22.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.3	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	33.9	34	25%	+8.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,027	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	56,383	24	40%	+9.5
Households (ACS)	7,131	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	35%	+17.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	66	25%	+16.4
Population (ACS)	17,027	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	56,383	24	20%	+4.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.8	23	50%	+11.5
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	30%	+15.0
20-year restaurant growth	5.3	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

American 11 · Chicken / wings 8 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 13 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alabama Coal Recovery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 Forestdale Blvd Ste 303	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	996 Forestdale Blvd	open
Ashford Place	Café	Coffee	924 Avenue W	open
BTB Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	2444 Palomino Ln	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1484 Forestdale Blvd	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	200 Avenue U	open
Captain d's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1141 Forestdale Blvd	open
CHA CHA'S Bar And Grill Cha Cha's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		405 9th Street	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1428 Forestdale Boulevard	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery	Bakery	1544 Forestdale Blvd	open
Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts	Quick service		1544 Forestdale Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1535 Forestdale Blvd	open
E&f Lutfi, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1100 Forestdale Blvd	open
Eagles Lodge	Bar		145 Persimmon St	open
El Palenque El Palenque Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1420 Forestdale Blvd	open
El Vecino Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1492 Forestdale Blvd	open
Flowers Baking Co Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2708 Republic Blvd	open
Flowers Baking Co. (Nature's Own) Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	800 Daniel Payne Dr W	open
Forestdale & Arkadelphia Food Truck Park	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Chicken / wings	1224 Forestdale Blvd	open
Four Seasons Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	719 5th Street Pratt	open
G's Blues & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		405 9th Street Pratt	open
Geronimos Private Lounge & Events	Bar		1121 Forestdale Blvd	open
Golden Wok \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1421 Forestdale Blvd #113	open
Jasmine's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	134 Ave U	open
Jim Deerman's Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · American	1644 Forestdale Plz	open
Jus Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1229 Forestdale Blvd	open
Kings Wings	Bar	Chicken / wings · American	1100 Forestdale Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1421 Forestdale Blvd Ste 101	open
Los Rancheros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2463 Palomino Ln	open
Los Rancheros Mexican Grill Forestdale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1420 Forestdale Blvd	open
Maravilla's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2463 Palomino Ln	open
Margaret's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1421 Forestdale Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1309 Forestdale Blvd	open
Milo's Hamburgers Milo's Original Burger Shop	Quick service	Burgers · American	1120 Forestdale Blvd	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1421 Forestdale Blvd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2480 Palomino Ln	open
Polar Shaved Ice	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1701 Forestdale Blvd	open
Rally's	Quick service		1205 Forestdale Blvd	open
Rancheros mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Forestdale Blvd, Birmingham, AL 35214, United States	open
red rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1620 Forestdale Plz	open
Ry Ry's Wings Fries & Pies	Food truck		Surrounding Areas\n	open
Seacrest Investments, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1428 Forestdale Blvd	open
Sneaky Pete's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	1570 Forestdale Blvd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	143 Foust Ct	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1145 Forestdale Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2473 Hackworth Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1101 Forestdale Blvd	open
Taquería La Catrina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1604 Forestdale Blvd	open
Two Sistahs Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	204 Ave U	open
Wholesome Yesterday	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	134 Avenue U	open
Wing Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood · Burgers	1620 Forestdale Plz	open
九記茶餐廳	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 1st St	open
Boujee Lounge	Bar		204 Avenue U	closed
Dixie's Deli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1240 Forestdale Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	30	28	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	30	28	5	22	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	26	24	3	20	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	23	21	5	16	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	18	3	15	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	1	15	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	19	1	18	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	22	3	19	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	20	2	17	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	20	2	17	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	19	1	17	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	21	3	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	22	3	18	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	22	4	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	19	2	16	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	20	3	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	19	2	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	19	3	15	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	2	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	19	2	15	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	22	3	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	3	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	3	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	22	4	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	21	4	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	21	3	18	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	—	18	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35214. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35060	2.3 mi	—
35207	3.9 mi	2	2016
35181	3.9 mi	—
35224	4.3 mi	2	2016
35218	4.4 mi	3	2023
35068	4.4 mi	27	2023
35204	4.5 mi	14	2023
35254	4.6 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.