BMIE Market 35749

Madison County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,710 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,008 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,575 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,803 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$304,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,728 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35749
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+566.7% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35749. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.3	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.3	88	35%	+30.9
Market Momentum Score	89.7	90	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,710	89	40%	+35.7
Median household income (ACS)	103,901	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	10,254	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	30,710	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	103,901	83	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	400	98	20%	+19.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 9 · BBQ 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · African 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 A's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	6297 AL-53	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3035 Jeff Rd NW	open
Butt Shack BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	8904 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Catrinas Authentic Mexican Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6046 AL-53	open
China Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5850 Highway 53 Ste L	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	14945 East Limestone Road Suite A	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6360 AL-53	open
Elevate	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	27669 Capshaw Rd Ste A4	open
G3 Grayson's Grille & Grubb, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	6360 Highway 53	open
Halftime Bar&Grille	Casual dining · Bar		5700 Highway 53	open
Jack's Jack's	Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5888 Highway 53	open
KaleidoScoops of Harvest	Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Dessert · Burgers	2838 Jeff Rd NW	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7635 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	30029 Capshaw Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1820 Nick Davis Road	open
LawLers Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5856 Highway 53, Ste A	open
Leroy's Chicken & Fish	Quick service	Seafood · Chicken / wings	6360 Highway 53	open
LJz Backyard Bayou	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3155 Old Railroad Bed Rd	open
Los 2 potrillos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	7635 Wall Triana Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5904 Highway 53	open
Mi Casa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5850 Highway 53	open
Mks & Associates, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7664 Wall Triana Hwy Ste D	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5850 highway 53	open
RD’s Smokehouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1811 Nick Davis Rd	open
Shababy's Rib Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	6046 AL-53	open
Sno-boss	Dessert		5850 Highway 53	open
Soul Train Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		5572 Highway 53	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1085 Nick Davis Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5850 Highway 53 Suite W	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15024 A East Limestone	open
Sweetpeas Takeout	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14945 E Limestone Rd Ste I	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5809 Highway 53	open
The Rooted Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	166 Rosecliff Dr	open
The Velvet Plate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · African · American	2659 Jeff Rd W	open
Travelin' Tom's Coffee of N. Madison Co. Travelin' Tom's Coffee	Coffee shop · Food truck · Catering	Coffee	Multi Auto Services, 5721 AL-53	open
Turkey's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5525 Highway 53	open
Turkey's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	8904 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Wilford's Cheese Crisp	Bakery	Bakery	107 Greenwood Cir	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5850 AL-53	open
Proaps Enterprises L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5850 Highway 53 Ste W	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	3	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	3	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	2	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	15	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	—	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	17	—	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	19	—	14	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	—	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35749. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35757	2.7 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.