BMIE Market 35757

Madison County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,173 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,840 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,995 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$337,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35757
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+700.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35757. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.8	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.6	89	35%	+31.0
Market Momentum Score	83.6	84	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,529	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	106,175	85	40%	+33.9
Households (ACS)	7,173	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.3	94	25%	+23.5
Population (ACS)	18,529	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	106,175	85	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	700	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 3 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Em's Cozy Corner Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	383 Usher Rd	open
Busters Lounge	Bar · Casual dining	American		open
C&C Espresso Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	Building 2304 Next to NASA Space shop	open
China Dragon III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7190 Wall Triana Hwy A	open
Chuck's Fish Chuck's Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	461 John Henry Way Building 500	open
Cinnaholic Cinnaholic	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Vegetarian · Dessert	460 John Henry Way Ste 370	open
Cookie Fix Cookie Fix	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	170 Uncle Frank Blvd Ste 110	open
Grimaldi's - Madison Grimaldi's Pizzeria Iowa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	461 John Henry Way St. 850	open
Grimaldi's Pizzeria Grimaldi's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	461 John Henry Way Suite #850	open
Laurynbakes	Bakery	Bakery	165 John Thomas Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7161 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Melt Madison MELT Hoover	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	461 John Henry Way Ste 810	open
Mia's Cafe Mia's cafe	Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee · American	30694 Hwy 72 W Ste B	open
Pine Grove Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	7127 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Rocket City Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6594 Wall Triana Hwy Ste C	open
Stoney River Steakhouse and Grill Stoney River Steakhouse and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	563 John Henry Way	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7507 Wall Triana Hwy A	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7200 Wall Triana Highway	open
Taco Mama Taco Mama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	419 John Henry Way Ste K	open
Tacos de Canasta Acapulco– Mexican Food truck	Food truck	Mexican	7192 A Wall Triana Hwy A	open
Taquería Doña Vale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7190 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Taqueria VICKY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7190 Wall Triana Hwy	open
Tennessee Valley Food Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7507 Wall Triana Hwy Ste A	open
Teriyaki Express Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7065 Wall Triana Hwy	open
The Rusty Seagull	Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	300 Usher Rd	open
Tikka Shack Indian Grub Tikka Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	170 Uncle Frank Blvd Ste 100-B	open
Twisted Taco Huntsville	Quick service	Mexican	651 Nance Rd	open
Uncle Maddio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	8048 Highway 72 W	open
Vincent Gourmet Cookie Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6594 Wall Triana Hwy Ste F	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	7129 Wall Triana Hwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	417 John Henry Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	1	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35757. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35749	2.7 mi	20	2023
35806	3.7 mi	103	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.