BMIE Market 36523

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,368 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,607 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,157 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$165,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,610 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2012 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2012 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 36523
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2007 → 2012, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-75.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2012, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2017	0 (range 0–0) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2001–2012 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36523. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2001–2012, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.8	44	40%	+17.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.2	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	26.2	26	25%	+6.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,972	52	40%	+20.8
Median household income (ACS)	61,607	33	40%	+13.0
Households (ACS)	1,034	50	20%	+10.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-75	0	35%	+0.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.4	97	25%	+24.2
Population (ACS)	2,972	52	20%	+10.4
Median household income (ACS)	61,607	33	20%	+6.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	-75	0	30%	+0.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (10)

By cuisine

Seafood 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Capt Jim's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	8401 AL-188	open
Catalina Jane Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	8370 Highway 188	open
CoffeeHouse Suds Studio	Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	6800 Old Rock Rd	open
Junior Barbour Seafood Barbour	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9301 Faith St	open
Portersville Bay Oyster Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14735 Commodore Ave	open
Retro Sno - Gulf Coast	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3210 Hwy 188	open
Southbound \| Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5075 AL-188	open
TCL'S Cakes & Desserts LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	14735 Archie Zirlott Rd W	open
Topless Oyster Raw Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14570 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Wright Brand Oysters - Bayou	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9216 Faith St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36523. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36509	4.2 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.