BMIE Market 36509

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,233 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	416 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,983 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$33,488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,044 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$803 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$86,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36509
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	40.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	32 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	22 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36509. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	22.2	22	40%	+8.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.8	34	35%	+11.8
Market Momentum Score	43.4	43	25%	+10.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,233	36	40%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	33,488	3	40%	+1.3
Households (ACS)	416	33	20%	+6.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	73.0	6	25%	+1.5
Population (ACS)	1,233	36	20%	+7.1
Median household income (ACS)	33,488	3	20%	+0.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	50%	+7.0
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Seafood 10 · American 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bayou Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	13655 N Wintzell Ave	open
Bayou La Batre Public Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8330 E Rabby St	open
Bayou Seafood Company LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	13450 Wintzell Ave	open
Cafe Yo	Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13318 N Wintzell Ave	open
Captain Frank's Smoke Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	13876 S Wintzell Ave	open
Catalina Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	14060 S Wintzell Ave	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12993 Wintzell Ave	open
Dana's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14050 Jernberg St	open
Deep Sea Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14530 Shell Belt Rd	open
Due South Grill & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	12953 N Wintzell Ave	open
Forever Delicious Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	12953 N Wintzell Ave	open
Gazzier Shipyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9280 Seafood House Rd	open
Gina’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	12993 N Wintzell Ave	open
Janino's Pizza - Bayou La Batre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12953 Wintzell Ave	open
Jubilee Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13050 N Wintzell Ave	open
Kains Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13350 Wintzell Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13845 Tapia Avenue	open
Olympic Shellfish Product	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14110 Shell Belt Rd	open
Phnom Penh Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	13260 Wintzell Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14031 S Wintzell Ave Mobile	open
Rodney Lyons' Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9145 Little River Rd	open
Rodnoker's & Hannah's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9145 Little River Rd	open
RodNokers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9145 Little River Rd	open
Sidney's BLB Sidney's Financial Services	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · American	13195 N Wintzell Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	13280 N Wintzell Ave	open
Sugar Rush	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Bakery · Coffee · American	13240 N Wintzell Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	13035 Wintzell Ave	open
Ole' Maria's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13655 N Wintzell Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36509. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36523	4.2 mi	1	2012
36544	4.8 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.