BMIE Market 36544

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,476 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,590 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$847 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$140,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36544
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 2–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36544. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.0	51	40%	+20.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.2	45	35%	+15.8
Market Momentum Score	17.5	18	25%	+4.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,521	72	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	54,169	20	40%	+8.2
Households (ACS)	3,999	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	35%	+3.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	10,521	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	54,169	20	20%	+4.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-28.6	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	30%	+3.1
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bojangles Bojangles	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8400 County Farm Rd	open
Cakes By CindyKay	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	10771 Wisteria St	open
Chester's Chicken To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6831 Highway 90	open
Christie's Kitchen	Bakery	Asian · Bakery	9196 Irvington Bayou La Batre Hwy	open
DJ's Diner	Casual dining	American	9040 Irvington Bayou La Batre Hwy	open
Fry Daddy’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9091 US-90	open
Irvington Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8970 US-90	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	8175 Hwy 90 West	open
Lighthouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12495 Padgett Switch Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	8662 Hwy 188	open
Pheth’s Southern Style	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9091 Hwy 188	open
Pour N Puff	Bar		9010 US-90	open
Raise the Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated)		864 County Road 39	open
S&S Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9110 Argyle Rd	open
Tacos GTO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9091 US-90 building 1	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	8354 I 10 Service Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	1	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36544. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36568	3.2 mi	1	1996
36509	4.8 mi	9	2023
36582	5.0 mi	23	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.