BMIE Market 37205

Davidson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,823 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,753 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±620 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,057 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,344 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$139,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,726 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,920 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$953,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37205
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-6.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 38–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37205. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.7	90	40%	+35.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.8	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	30.8	31	25%	+7.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,823	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	139,152	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	11,753	89	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.1	42	25%	+10.6
Population (ACS)	24,823	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	139,152	95	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.2	20	50%	+10.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (98)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 13 · Bakery 8 · Pizza 7 · Asian 6 · Mexican 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Dessert 4 · Japanese 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Seafood 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Vegan 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 9 · Bar 9 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 3 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
360 Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6000 TN-100	open
3rd Coast Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	825 W Hillwood Dr	open
Agaves Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4550 Harding Pike	open
Akshar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4230 Harding Pike	open
Anatolia Turkish Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	48 White Bridge Pike	open
Asa Ventures Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6000 Highway 100 Ste 100	open
Asahi Sushi & Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	5133 Harding Pike	open
Babu And Mehta Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4230 Harding Pike Ste 212a	open
Belle Meade Meat and Three	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	110 Leake Ave	open
Belle Meade Premium Cigars	Bar		4518 Harding Pike	open
Belle Meade Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		5025 Harding Pike	open
Bread & Company	Bakery	Bakery	6051 Highway 100	open
Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	5311 Harding Pike	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	6816 Charlotte Pike Suite 110 #110	open
Caesar's Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	72 White Bridge Pike	open
Cafe 29	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1200 Forrest Park Dr	open
Cakepop Heaven Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4401 Harding Pike	open
Calypso Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	5101 Harding Pike	open
CAVA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	6025 Highway 100	open
Chefology	Café	Coffee	11 Vaughns Gap Rd	open
China Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	73 White Bridge Pike Ste 102	open
Chinatown Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	73 white bridge Pike Ste 104	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	96 White Bridge Pike Ste 103	open
Chuy's Chuy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	17 White Bridge Pike	open
Clubebourbon	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Cousins Maine Lobster Truck	Food truck	Seafood · American	Elmington Park, 3531 West End Ave	open
D & W Holdings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5133 Harding Pike	open
Dalts American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	38 White Bridge Pike	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	70 White Bridge Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5101 Harding Pike	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Quick service		5311 Harding Pike	open
El Stuffed Pepper, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4520 Harding Pike	open
El Torero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	70 White Bridge Rd	open
Finezza Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	5404 Harding Pike	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	21 White Bridge Rd	open
Fix Juice Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6017A TN-100	open
Giovanni Ristorante West	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 Harding Pl	open
Golden Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	73 White Bridge Rd	open
Harding House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5025 Harding Pike	open
Hattie Bs Center Hattie B S- Charl	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5801 Old Harding Pike	open
Hattie Bs, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5801 Old Harding Pike	open
Hey Sugar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6045 Highway 100	open
J. Alexander's J. Alexander’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	73 White Bridge Rd #130	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	73 White Bridge Road Suite 101	open
Juice Bar - Belle Meade	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Vegan	6000 Tennessee 100 Ste 101	open
Katee Layne	Bakery	Bakery	998 Davidson Dr	open
Kebab Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	73 White Bridge Pike Ste 104	open
Kitchen West Side	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 White Bridge Rd	open
Krystal	Quick service		5316 Harding Rd	open
Laughing Gull Foundation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4525 Harding Pike	open
Le Peep Le Peep Cincinnati	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	5133 Harding Pike	open
Little Rad Market	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6045 TN-100	open
Michael Angeloe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5133 Harding Pike Ste B9 # Suit	open
Michaelangelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5133 Harding Pike	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4326 Harding Pike	open
Nashvillechinatown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	73 White Bridge Pike	open
Noosh Persian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	21 White Bridge Rd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	21 White Bridge Rd Ste 111B	open
O'Charley's Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Seafood	17 White Bridge Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	96 White Bridge Road	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5101 Harding Pike	open
Peet's Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	4324 Harding Pike # 1211	open
Pho Ann	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4516 Harding Pike	open
Picnic Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6000 TN-100	open
Pineapple Room Restaurant	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1200 Forrest Park Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Pizza · Coffee · Bakery	26 White Bridge Rd	open
Porta Via Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 White Bridge Pike	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	36 White Bridge Pike	open
Roze Pony	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	5133 Harding Pike	open
Sam's Place - Belle Meade	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6051 Highway 100	open
Sam's Sports Grill Sam's Place - Blue Turtle Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6051 Highway 100	open
Sam's Sports Grill - Murfreesboro Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5109 Harding Pike	open
Sams Sports Grill - Nippers Corner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5109 Harding Pike	open
Sdj Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4530 Harding Pike	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	4546 Harding Rd	open
Sonobana Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	40 White Bridge Rd	open
Sperry's Sperry's Restaurant - Belle Meade	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5109 Harding Pike	open
Sportsman's Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	5405 Harding Pike	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4416 Ridgefield Way (Harris Teeter - N, Ashville #318)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4514 Harding Pike	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4230 Harding Rd, Suite 210	open
Subway Restaurants	Other	Sandwiches	99 White Bridge Pike Ste 109	open
Sushi Train	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	94 White Bridge Rd	open
Sweet Cece's	Dessert	Dessert	4322 Harding Pike	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4300 Harding Rd	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4300 Harding Rd	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	54 White Bridge Pike # RD-1411	open
The Blu Bliss Boba&Bakery WIN Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	99 White Bridge Pike	open
The Carriage House At Belle Meade Plantation	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5025 Harding Pike	open
The Jackson Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6201 Hickory Valley Rd	open
The Picnic Cafe & Party Catering	Café · Catering	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee	6000 TN-100	open
The Wild Muffin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls · Bakery · Vegetarian	998B Davidson Dr	open
Tin Cup Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	95 White Bridge Pike Ste 108	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	36 White Bridge Rd	open
Whitt's Barbecue Whitt's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5310 Hwy 70 S	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	4324 Harding Pike	open
Zoes Kitchen	Other	Sandwiches	6025 Highway 100	open
Island Fin Poke - White Bridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 White Bridge Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	48	48	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	40	40	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	39	39	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	47	47	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	49	43	25	12	5	—	NAICS1997
1999	44	36	22	9	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	44	34	22	8	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	45	36	23	8	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	40	31	18	10	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	42	35	21	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	46	36	21	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	49	38	22	13	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	49	37	23	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	48	37	23	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	49	38	23	12	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	52	43	23	15	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	53	44	24	15	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	53	44	23	15	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	53	44	24	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	55	45	25	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	54	44	24	16	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	58	49	27	18	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	60	51	29	18	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	58	49	22	21	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	49	24	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	57	47	24	18	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	55	46	24	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	54	45	26	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	54	43	21	17	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	55	45	23	16	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37205. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37215	2.9 mi	57	2023
37212	4.1 mi	44	2023
37232	4.2 mi	4	2023
37218	4.8 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.