BMIE Market 37215

Davidson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,018 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,341 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±666 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,190 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,824 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$155,863 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,046,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,630 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37215
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	54 (range 47–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37215. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.1	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.4	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	64.4	64	25%	+16.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,018	83	40%	+33.2
Median household income (ACS)	155,863	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	10,341	86	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14	58	35%	+20.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.9	25	25%	+6.3
Population (ACS)	22,018	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	155,863	97	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	14	58	30%	+17.3
20-year restaurant growth	18.8	45	20%	+9.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (101)

By cuisine

American 18 · Sandwiches 12 · Coffee 10 · Healthy / salads / bowls 9 · Pizza 8 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Mediterranean 5 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · Greek 4 · Japanese 4 · Asian 3 · European 3 · Italian 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · French 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 13 · Quick service 13 · Café 8 · Dessert 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Other 5 · Fast casual 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Bazooka Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Bistro 215	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3821 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Blimpie Subs & Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	2109 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Bread & Company	Other	Sandwiches	4105 Hillsboro Pike	open
Brixx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Vegetarian	2035 Richard Jones Rd	open
Calibrate 49	Coffee shop	Coffee	440 Florida Ave	open
California Pizza Kitchen at Hill Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4031 Hillsboro Pike Ste. 901	open
Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	2110 Green Hills Village Dr	open
CAVA CAVA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Mediterranean · Healthy / salads / bowls	2171 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Char Restaurant Char Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3988 Hillsboro Pike	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	3900 Hillsboro Pike Ste 28	open
Chopt Creative Salad Co. Chopt Creative Salad Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	2126 Abbott Martin Road	open
Clean Eatz Clean Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	4004 Hillsboro Pike Suite 115-R	open
Clean Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3904 Hillsboro Pike Ste 103	open
Club 6011	Bar		6011 Hillsboro Pike	open
Coco's Italian Market - Green Hills Mall	Other	Sandwiches	2126 Abbott Martin Rd Ste K101	open
Cole's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2201 Bandywood Dr	open
Cpr Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4109 Hillsboro Pike	open
Crow's Nest Restaurant Crow's Nest Green Hills	Casual dining · Bar	American	2221 Bandywood Dr	open
Darlene's Decorated Kakes	Dessert	Dessert	3900 Hillsboro Pike Ste 2	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2109 Abbott Martin Road	open
Doughbird Doughbird	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza · Chicken / wings	4031 Hillsboro Pike Ste 901	open
El Palenque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2210 Crestmoor Rd #2	open
Emmy Squared Pizza Emmy Squared Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Burgers · American	3821 Green Hills Village Dr	open
etc. Nashville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3790 Bedford Ave	open
Fire Of Brazil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3805 Green Hills Village Dr	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2002 Richard Jones Rd	open
Five Guys Famous Burgers and Fries Five Guys of Central Florida	Quick service	Burgers · American	4017 Hillsboro Pike	open
Fox's Donut Den	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3900 Hillsboro Pike #2	open
Freebirds World Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3800 Hillsboro Pike	open
Fresh Wraps & Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	30 Burton Hills Blvd	open
Fuzziwig's Candy Factory	Dessert		2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Genji Sushi Express Genji Sushi Bars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4021 Hillsboro Pike	open
Ginza Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3900 Hillsboro Pike #10	open
Godiva Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Goozy Dessert Bar and Cafe	Café	Coffee	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Great Harvest Bread Co.	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	3900 Hillsboro Pike	open
Great Life Resources	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3607 Sperry Ave	open
Greek Cafe Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	4004 Hillsboro Pike #100r	open
Green Hills Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2002 Richard Jones Rd #104A	open
Green Hills Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	4121 Hillsboro Pike #106	open
Greenhouse Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2211 Bandywood Dr	open
Harth	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3801 Cleghorn Ave	open
Jack Brown's Beer & Burger Joint Green Hills TN Jack Brown’s Beer & Burger Joint KDH	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	2201 Bandywood Dr	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2126 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2184 Bandywood Dr.	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2010 Richard Jones Rd	open
Joe's Place	Bar		2227 Bandywood Dr	open
Jonathan's Grille	Casual dining · Bar		3805 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Juice Bar - Green Hills	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian	2120 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Kalamatas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	3764 Hillsboro Pike	open
Kohana Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	2002 Richard Jones Rd	open
La Paz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3808 Cleghorn Ave	open
Little Gourmand	Café	Coffee · French · European	2209 Bandywood Dr	open
McDonald's	Quick service		4114 Hillsboro Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4110 Hillsboro Rd	open
Nashville Cigar	Bar		4001 Hillsboro Pike	open
Nero's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2122 Hillsboro Dr	open
Noodles And Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2116 Green Hills Village Dr	open
North Italia North Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2159 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Noshville Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4014 Hillsboro Cir	open
Panera Bread	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2117 Green Hills Village Dr Ste 282	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4004 Hillsboro Rd	open
Pei Wei Asian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4017 Hillsboro Pike	open
Pizza Loves Emily Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3821 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Princetons Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4004 Hillsboro Pike	open
Santo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	3998 Hillsboro Pike	open
Shake Shack Shake Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	4031 Hillsboro Pike Suite 904	open
Shalimar Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3711 Hillsboro Pike	open
Shalimar Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	3711 Hillsboro Pike	open
Sixth & Pine	Casual dining	American	2130 Abbott Martin Rd	open
SkyBar Green Hills	Bar		3801 Cleghorn Ave	open
Slushville Daiquiris	Casual dining · Bar		4235 Hillsboro Pike Ste 300	open
Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3706 Hillsboro Road	open
Sports & Social Green Hills Sports & Social Cary	Bar · Casual dining		2126 Abbott Martin Rd Ste 282	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2153 Green Hills Village Dr The Mall At Green Hills	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	4015 Hillsboro Pike	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2131 Abbott Martin Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4121 Hillsboro Pike Street Suite 104	open
Sunrise Capital Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4117 Hillsboro Pike Ste 103	open
SusieCakes - Nashville	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2177 Green Hills Village Drive	open
Sweet Cece's	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4031 Hillsboro Pike Ste 905	open
Table 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	3821 Green Hills Village Dr	open
Taco Bamba Nashville Taco Bamba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4017 Hillsboro Pike	open
Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe	Café	Mediterranean · Greek · Coffee	2190 Bandywood Dr	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4121 Hillsboro Pike	open
Teavana	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	2126 Abbott Martin Rd Ste 168	open
The Cafe Dbyd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	4009 Hillsboro Pike #212	open
The Charcuterist	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	2014 Glen Echo Rd	open
The Cheesecake Factory The Cheesecake Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2133 Green Hills Village Dr	open
The Corner Pub	Bar · Casual dining		4109 Hillsboro Pike	open
The Main	Bar		4021 Hillsboro Pike	open
The Painted Cupcake	Bakery	Bakery	2014 Glen Echo Rd	open
Tokyo Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Steakhouse · Japanese	3808 Cleghorn Ave	open
Toshima Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3900 Hillsboro Pike Ste 10	open
True Food Kitchen True Food Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	3996 Hillsboro Pike	open
Wendy's	Quick service		4104 Hillsboro Cir	open
Which Wich? Superior Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · American	2002 Richard Jones Rd	open
Zoes Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4015 Hillsboro Pike Ste 110	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	52	50	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	50	48	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	47	46	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	53	49	21	20	5	2	NAICS1997
1999	52	45	22	15	6	3	NAICS1997
2000	63	55	23	22	7	4	NAICS1997
2001	65	58	27	20	10	4	NAICS1997
2002	53	48	25	16	7	2	NAICS1997
2003	52	48	27	12	7	1	NAICS2002
2004	51	46	26	12	7	2	NAICS2002
2005	51	48	23	17	7	1	NAICS2002
2006	48	44	24	11	7	1	NAICS2002
2007	53	50	26	15	8	—	NAICS2002
2008	52	48	27	12	8	1	NAICS2007
2009	52	48	27	12	8	1	NAICS2007
2010	55	52	26	16	10	1	NAICS2007
2011	50	48	24	15	9	1	NAICS2007
2012	53	51	23	19	9	2	NAICS2012
2013	53	50	22	20	8	2	NAICS2012
2014	50	47	22	19	6	2	NAICS2012
2015	51	48	18	23	7	2	NAICS2012
2016	48	43	14	21	8	2	NAICS2012
2017	50	44	17	20	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	54	48	15	24	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	56	50	18	24	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	54	47	19	21	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	53	46	17	22	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	59	53	23	23	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	64	57	23	26	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37215. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37220	2.5 mi	9	2023
37205	2.9 mi	45	2023
37204	3.8 mi	88	2023
37212	4.0 mi	44	2023
37232	4.5 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.