BMIE Market 37415

Hamilton County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,505 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,873 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,490 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,332 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$285,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,494 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37415
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-4.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-11.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	52 (range 49–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37415. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.9	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.4	60	35%	+21.2
Market Momentum Score	62.1	62	25%	+15.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,181	85	40%	+33.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,972	49	40%	+19.4
Households (ACS)	11,505	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.0	69	35%	+24.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	24,181	85	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,972	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.5	75	50%	+37.7
10-year restaurant growth	27.0	69	30%	+20.7
20-year restaurant growth	-4.1	19	20%	+3.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (92)

By cuisine

American 21 · Mexican 9 · Bakery 8 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Burgers 5 · Coffee 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Quick service 20 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Pie & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3805 Hixson Pike	open
Amigos Mexican Cocina Amigos at Peerless Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1906 Dayton Blvd	open
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	356 Northgate Mall	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3903 Hixson Pike	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	501 Northgate Mall	open
ARIS Lake Shore Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5600 Lake Resort Ter # L446	open
Aubrey's Hixson Aubrey's Cleveland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	496 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	271 Northgate Mall	open
Be Caffeinated	Coffee shop	Coffee	3601 Dayton Blvd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2023 Dayton Blvd	open
Braum's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4241 Hixson Pike	open
Bread and Butter	Bakery	Bakery	3955 Dayton Blvd	open
Brothers Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	3805 Hixson Pike	open
Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3510 Dayton Blvd	open
Chatta-cakes	Bakery	Bakery	3904 Hixson Pike	open
Chattanooga Cotton Candy	Dessert	Dessert	4406 Dayton Blvd	open
Chattanooga Pizzeria Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3600 Hixson Pike Ste 102	open
Cheese Dip	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3643 Hixson Pike Ste D	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	209 Northgate Mall	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 Northgate Mall Drive	open
Clever Alehouse	Casual dining · Bar		2122 Dayton Blvd	open
Clyde's	Bar	American	3298 Reflecting Dr	open
Cocoa Asante	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	4300 N Access Rd	open
Doc Holidays Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	742 Ashland Terrace	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3504 Dayton Blvd	open
Dub's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers · BBQ	4408 Dayton Blvd	open
El Arca De Noe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3027 Dayton Blvd	open
El Meson At Northgate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	248 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Fiesta Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4021 Hixson Pike	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3849 Dayton Blvd. Ste 101	open
Grand China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3815 Dayton Blvd	open
Hangry Pinoy	Food truck		3639 Hixson Pike	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4007 Mccahill Road	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3514 Hixson Pike	open
Irie Jamaican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3224 Dayton Blvd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	123 Northgate Mall Drive	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4038 Dayton Blvd	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3600 Hixson Pike	open
JJ's Bohemia	Bar		3235 Haywood Ave	open
Johnny Ringo's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		5308 Dayton Blvd	open
Jpq, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3224 Dayton Blvd	open
Kimmee's Cakes and Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	4403 Dayton Blvd	open
Lakeshore Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French	5600 Lake Resort Terrace	open
Lillie Mae's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4712 Dayton Blvd	open
Local Slice, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4400 Dayton Blvd	open
Logan's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse	504A Northgate Mall	open
Logan's Roadhouse Logan's Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	504A Northgate Mall Dr	open
Mama Greene’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2601 Dayton Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2009 Dayton Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2003 Dayton Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4123 Hixson Pike	open
Mchale's Brewhouse	Bar		724 Ashland Ter	open
Mimi's Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3874 Hixson Pike	open
Monkey Town Brewing & Restaurant - Chattanooga	Restaurant (service type not stated)		724 Ashland Ter	open
Mr Burrito Grill	Casual dining	American · Mexican	2601 Dayton Blvd	open
New Wave Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2405 Lyndon Ave	open
North River Pub	Bar	American	4027 Hixson Pike	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	544 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Pan y Mojo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5214 Dayton Blvd	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	484 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery	562 Northgate Mall Drive	open
Papa John's Pizza Chattanooga TN Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3908 Hixson Pike	open
Piccadilly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	366 Northgate Mall	open
Pie R Square	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4403 Dayton Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4104 Dayton Blvd	open
Pizzeria Cortile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4400 Dayton Blvd	open
Plant Power Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan · Vegetarian	739 Ashland Ter	open
Rafael's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3877 Hixson Pike	open
Rb Asian Bistro Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3600 Hixson Pike Ste 104	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	NORTHGATE MALL, 2131 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Red Owl Coffee Company Red Owl Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	4241 Hixson Pike	open
Rice Boxx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3600 Hixson Pike #104	open
Rob's Restaurant & Lounge	Casual dining · Bar	American	5308 Dayton Blvd	open
Rocky Top Pizza, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3504 Dayton Blvd	open
Rumors	Casual dining · Bar	American	3884 Hixson Pike	open
Salsarita's Fresh Mexican Grill Salsarita's Fresh Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	252 Northgate Mall Dr	open
Serendipity Delights	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Sidetrack Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ · American	3514 Hixson Pike	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3508 Dayton Boulevard	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4305 Hixson Pike	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3901 Dayton Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4106 Dayton Blvd	open
Sunrise Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3901 Hixson Pike Ste 113	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2309 Dayton Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4115 Hixson Pike	open
Tanasi Brewing & Supplies	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3701 Hixson Pike	open
The Spritzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3912 Dayton Blvd	open
Typhoon of Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3953 Dayton Blvd	open
Vinny and Joes Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3849 Dayton Blvd	open
Yummy Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	100 Merriman Ave	open
Big Frog Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		2122 Dayton Blvd	closed
The Meeting House	Coffee shop	Coffee	3912 Dayton Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	56	53	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	51	48	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	49	46	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	47	45	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	47	44	19	23	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	49	46	21	23	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	47	43	19	23	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	48	45	21	21	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	43	41	21	20	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	50	49	23	26	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	45	45	19	25	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	49	48	22	25	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	43	42	17	24	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	45	44	14	28	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	44	44	14	26	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	45	44	15	27	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	46	45	14	28	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	47	46	17	26	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	44	41	15	24	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	40	37	12	23	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	40	37	12	24	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	43	40	16	23	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	41	38	14	22	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	43	38	13	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	45	40	15	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	44	40	14	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	42	15	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	49	45	14	28	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	52	48	18	28	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	50	47	19	25	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37415. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37351	2.1 mi	1	2004
37406	4.1 mi	9	2023
37343	4.9 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.