BMIE Market 37406

Hamilton County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,263 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,627 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,842 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,525 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$982 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$168,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,060 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37406
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-30.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37406. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.8	49	40%	+19.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.0	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	9.7	10	25%	+2.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,364	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	44,850	10	40%	+3.8
Households (ACS)	5,263	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	35%	+2.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.7	85	25%	+21.4
Population (ACS)	13,364	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	44,850	10	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	30%	+2.4
20-year restaurant growth	-30.8	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 8 · BBQ 5 · Pizza 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 13 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Squares a Day	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3399 Amnicola Hwy	open
Austin's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		2407 Glass St	open
Big Buff's 92 BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1800 Roanoke Ave	open
Big Jeff's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4272 Bonny Oaks Dr Ste A	open
Big River Breweries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2001 Riverside Dr	open
Boathouse Rotisserie & Raw Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1459 Riverside Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service		3401 Amnicola Highway	open
Carnitas Carmelita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	2604 Amnicola Hwy	open
Chattys Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2301 Milne St	open
Choo Choo BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	900 Appling St	open
Coffey's Cliff	Café · Bar	Coffee		open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		3409 Amnicola Highway	open
Eggstravagant Rolls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		3005 Dodson Ave	open
G's Detroit Sausage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3500 N Hawthorne St Ste 110	open
Garth Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3399 Amnicola Hwy	open
Grown Folks Lounge	Bar		830 Dodson Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3459 Amnicola Hwy	open
Hutton and Smith Brewing Company Production Facility	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3108 Riverside Dr	open
J & J Lounge	Bar		2208 Glass St	open
Jays Bar	Bar		1914 Wilder St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3459 Amnicola Hwy	open
Krystal	Quick service		3409 Amnicola Hwy	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4396 Amnicola Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1420 Dodson Ave	open
Lois's Restaurant	Bar	American	3013 Dodson Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service		3423 Amnicola Hwy	open
Mgr Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1459 Riverside Dr	open
Mimi&Nanas Home cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3608 Eastglen Ct	open
Mitch's Sports Bar	Bar		2555 Harrison Pike	open
Old Plantation Bar-Be-cue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1515 Dodson Ave	open
Ricko's Pizzeria And Italian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3399 Amnicola Hwy	open
Sharon's SuperFood Eastlake Community Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	2211 Windsor St	open
Southern Champion Tray	Bar		3480 Amnicola Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2610 Amnicola Hwy	open
Tacos & Wings at T-Roy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Tastee BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	2013 Taylor St	open
The Bohemian Village	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2511 N Chamberlain Ave	open
The Bohemian Village	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	2511 N Chamberlain Ave	open
The Dream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2308 Glass St	open
Tony's Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		830 Dodson Ave	open
Tony's Place	Quick service		2407 Glass St	open
Track's End Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Burgers	3435 Amnicola Hwy	open
Truth Vip Lounge Chattanooga	Bar		4272 Bonny Oaks Dr Suite B	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	2	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	2	11	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	2	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	3	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	4	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	2	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	2	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37406. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37351	2.1 mi	1	2004
37403	3.3 mi	21	2023
37411	3.3 mi	36	2023
37404	3.5 mi	17	2023
37415	4.1 mi	47	2023
37450	4.1 mi	1	2016
37402	4.4 mi	67	2023
37408	4.7 mi	39	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.