BMIE Market 37404

Hamilton County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,327 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,988 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$255,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37404
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-39.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 16–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37404. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.1	55	40%	+22.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.2	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	37.5	38	25%	+9.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,737	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	56,637	24	40%	+9.6
Households (ACS)	5,057	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	14,737	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	56,637	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15	15	50%	+7.7
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · Mexican 8 · Chicken / wings 5 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 10 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1501 nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1501 Dodds Ave	open
Alan Gold's Discotheque	Bar		1100 McCallie Ave	open
American Wings	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2316 E 3rd St	open
Armando's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1814 E Main St	open
Barque BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2309 E Main St	open
Bojangles	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1803 E 23rd St	open
Boo-Coes Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	2510 E Main St	open
Bourbon Street Bar	Bar		2000 E 23rd St	open
Brock Tori Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2520 E 14th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2119 E 23rd St	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1690 East 23rd Street	open
Central Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1255 E 3rd St	open
Chattanooga Culture	Bar		2310 Vance Ave	open
Chattanooga Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Vegetarian · Italian	2000 E 23rd St	open
Chattanooga Wing Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2109 McCallie Ave	open
Chatter Box Cafe Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings		open
derryl.moore	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1207 Dodds Ave	open
El Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1818 E Main St	open
El Solecito Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	1501 E 23rd St	open
Giardino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2503 Westside Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2720 Rossville Blvd	open
Ike and Shaun's House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1901 S Watkins St	open
Jugos y Frutas la Guerrerense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1303 E 23rd St	open
K.G's Lounge	Bar		1401 E 3rd Street	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2301 East 3rd Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2121 E 23rd St	open
La Esperanza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2022 E Main St	open
La Taquiza Mexican Restaurant La Taquiza Puebla	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1915 S Kelley St	open
LeMont's Kitchen	Catering	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	801 Dodds Ave	open
Lo Main	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2315 E Main St	open
Mac's Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1320 Dodds Ave	open
Mad Priest Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1200 McCallie Ave	open
Mary's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2125 McCallie Ave	open
Mccallie School	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2205 McCallie Ave	open
Mean Jeen’s	Bar · Casual dining		1800 E Main St	open
Mr. Beast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)		708 S Orchard Knob Ave	open
Order Up	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2005 E Main St	open
Pupuseria Marelyn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1622 Dodds Ave	open
Rembrandt's Coffee House	Café	Coffee	2525 Desales Ave	open
Restaurante"san marcos"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1818 E Main St	open
Ronnie's Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	408 Dodson Ave	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1330 E 3rd St	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2525 Desales Avenue	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		2333 McCallie Ave	open
Sugar's Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2450 15th Ave	open
Sweet Tooth Stop	Bakery	Bakery		open
Taqueria Adriana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2024 E 23rd St	open
Taqueria Antigua Guatemala	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	156B E 004.01	open
Taqueria Bautista	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1303 E 23rd St	open
Tasty Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1401 Oak St	open
The All American Footlong Hotdogs & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	2122 Dodds Ave	open
The Deli Man and Cake Lady	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1414 McCallie Ave	open
The Main Brew	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1516 E Main St	open
The PanCake Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	801 Dodds Ave	open
The Spot	Café	Coffee	1800 E Main St	open
Together Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	801 S Orchard Knob Ave	open
Underdog's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2503 Westside Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2024 E 23rd St	open
Wally's Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1600 McCallie Ave	open
Warner Park Swimming Pool	Bar		1254 E 3rd St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	418 Cumberland St	open
White Duck Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1519 McCallie Ave	open
Wings Town	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1805 E 23rd St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	28	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	25	24	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	20	10	9	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	17	9	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	24	18	9	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	21	15	7	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	22	14	6	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	25	17	7	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	16	4	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	15	4	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	13	4	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	15	6	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	14	4	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	14	3	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	24	14	3	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	14	4	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	15	4	11	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	27	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	20	6	14	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	31	21	6	14	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	24	16	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	18	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37404. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37403	1.8 mi	21	2023
37407	2.0 mi	7	2023
37408	2.2 mi	39	2023
37411	2.4 mi	36	2023
37450	2.6 mi	1	2016
37402	2.8 mi	67	2023
37410	2.9 mi	1	2016
37412	3.4 mi	56	2023
37406	3.5 mi	9	2023
37409	3.8 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.