BMIE Market 37407

Hamilton County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,864 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,932 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,794 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$35,845 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,985 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	26.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$98,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,528 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37407
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-41.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-56.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-58.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	32 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	7 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37407. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	42.7	43	40%	+17.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.8	38	35%	+13.2
Market Momentum Score	7.2	7	25%	+1.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,156	69	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	35,845	4	40%	+1.6
Households (ACS)	2,864	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-41.7	8	35%	+2.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	82	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	9,156	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	35,845	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 7 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-30	9	50%	+4.5
10-year restaurant growth	-41.7	8	30%	+2.3
20-year restaurant growth	-56.3	2	20%	+0.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Latin American (other) 8 · Mexican 8 · American 7 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 14 · Bar 5 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acapulco Bar	Bar		2925 Rossville Blvd	open
Asador Del Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	2825 Rossville Blvd	open
Bea's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4500 Dodds Ave	open
Burger House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2401 E 23rd St	open
Central Park Central Park Hixson	Quick service	Burgers · American	2401 E 23rd St	open
Chattanooga, TN Krystal	Quick service		2298 E 23rd Street	open
Chicken Wing King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	3815 Clio Ave	open
Chubby's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3801 Rossville Blvd	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4011 Rossville Blvd	open
Dhruv 2003 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2206 E 23rd St	open
Donuts TAP	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	2825 Rossville Blvd	open
Guox Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1617 E 26th St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		2302 E 23rd St	open
Hunan Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2201 E 23rd St	open
J&D Quick Stop & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3403 4th Ave	open
Jeannie's Harley House and Sports Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3715 Rossville Blvd	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3401 Rossville Blvd	open
Latin Store and Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	2201 E 37th St	open
Long Branch Saloon	Bar			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4502 Rossville Blvd	open
Mean Mug Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2775 S Hickory St	open
Miss G's Tortas y Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4801 English Ave	open
Mr Philly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2701 4th Ave	open
Neveria & Fruteria Xelaju	Dessert	Dessert	3100 Rossville Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4308 Rossville Blvd	open
Restauran bar mi casita	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3029 Rossville Blvd	open
Restaurante Elizabeth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3202 Dodds Ave	open
Restaurante la delicia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4308 Rossville Blvd	open
Restaurante Y Tienda El Gallo Giro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4700 Rossville Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3416 Rossville Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2206 E 23rd St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4115 Rossville Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		2801 Rossville Blvd	open
TACOS La cuñadita	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		3208 Rossville Blvd	open
Taqueria Chapina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2828 Rossville Blvd	open
Taqueria La Delicia	Quick service		2909 Rossville Blvd	open
Taqueria las chulas	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2825 Rossville Blvd	open
Taqueria San Vicente	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4412 Dodds Ave	open
The Brew & Cue	Bar · Casual dining		5017 Rossville Blvd	open
Thermo King of Chattanooga	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2400 E 23rd St	open
Tienda La Estrella	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4701 Dodds Ave	open
Tienda Maya #5	Specialty food shop	Latin American (other)	3511 Rossville Blvd	open
Transport Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3217 Rossville Blvd	open
Wabevs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2807 E 39th St	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4704 Rossville Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	18	9	9	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	16	6	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	6	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	16	5	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	3	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	2	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	16	2	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	3	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	3	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	2	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37407. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37410	1.4 mi	1	2016
37404	2.0 mi	17	2023
37408	2.3 mi	39	2023
37409	2.7 mi	8	2023
37403	3.2 mi	21	2023
30741	3.4 mi	8	2023
37402	3.4 mi	67	2023
37450	3.5 mi	1	2016
37350	3.5 mi	3	2023
37412	3.6 mi	56	2023
37411	3.8 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.