BMIE Market 37664

Sullivan County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,911 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$240,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37664
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-10.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+23.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 43–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37664. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.7	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.1	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	52.9	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,267	88	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	63,653	36	40%	+14.6
Households (ACS)	12,647	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.5	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.9	53	25%	+13.3
Population (ACS)	28,267	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	63,653	36	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	13.5	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	-10.6	17	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (83)

By cuisine

American 17 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 6 · BBQ 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Breakfast 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Quick service 12 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4ws Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		819 N Eastman Rd	open
7 Brew Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1775 Fort Henry Blvd	open
Andy's Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	243 Cedar Branch Rd	open
Auntie Anne's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2101 Fort Henry Dr Ste 115	open
Bargerburger, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Konnarock Rd	open
Benfield Produce	Food truck		278 W Valley Dr	open
Big As Biscuits & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3104 Memorial Blvd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3048 Fort Henry Dr	open
Braeden's BBQ & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	823 N Eastman Rd	open
Brain Freeze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1913 Sherwood Rd	open
Broad St. Barbecue Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2921 E Center St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1209 N Eastman Rd	open
Capri The Food Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	3104 Memorial Blvd 3104	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	2101 Fort Henry Dr	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2004 N Eastman Rd	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1001 N Eastman Rd	open
Coffee Break	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	2101 Fort Henry Dr Ste 5520e	open
Cro-bar, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Konnarock Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3077 Fort Henry Dr	open
Dutch Bros Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1501 East Stone Drive	open
Evelyn's Kitchen Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1141 N Eastman Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1233 N Eastman Rd	open
Fuji House Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1805 N Eastman Rd	open
Fuqua Enterprises #7 L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 Fort Henry Dr	open
Galaxy Pizza & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5215 Memorial Blvd Ste D	open
Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1910 N Eastman Rd	open
Great American Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	2101 Fort Henry Dr	open
Gypsy Circus Cider + BBQ Smokehouse	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	BBQ	2645 Fort Henry Dr	open
Gypsy Circus Taproom	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2645 Fort Henry Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5121 Memorial Blvd	open
Indian Springs Ice Cream & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5215 Memorial Blvd Ste D	open
Italian Village Authentic Pizzeria Italian Village Authentic Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2101 Fort Henry Dr	open
Jalisco Of Kingsport Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2008 N Eastman Rd	open
Jareonsub Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		116 Jack White Dr Ste 2	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1127 B - N. Eastman Road	open
Jh Development Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1916 Sherwood Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1825 N Eastman Rd Ste. 7	open
Johnny Brusco's New York Style Pizza Johnny Brusco's New York Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1700 N Eastman Rd	open
Kb Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3813 Memorial Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2401 Ft. Henry Drive	open
Kingsport Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1137 N Eastman Rd	open
Kingsport, TN - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1233 North Eastman Road, Kingsport, TN 37664	open
Krazy Chicken International	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2301 Fort Henry Dr	open
La Carreta Mexican Restaurant La Carreta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2008 N Eastman Rd	open
Little Panda Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5045 Memorial Blvd	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2354 Fort Henry Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	2330 Fort Henry Dr	open
Ming Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1207 N Eastman Rd	open
Nick's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2406 Memorial Blvd	open
No Bull BBQ (formerly Broad Street BBQ)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2921 E Center St	open
O'charley's Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1920 N Eastman Rd	open
Ole Colbys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Pal's Sudden Service Pal's Church Hill	Quick service	Burgers · American	1735 Fort Henry Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	1880 N Eastman Road	open
Piccadilly Cafeteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2101 Fort Henry Dr	open
Pizza Plus Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5130 Memorial Blvd	open
Shipley Soda Co.	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2641 Fort Henry Dr	open
Shoney's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2227 Fort Henry Dr	open
Skoby's of Kingsport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1001 Konnarock Rd	open
Sloopy's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	819 N Eastman Rd	open
Southeastern Adhesives Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Konnarock Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1860 N Eastman Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1205 N Eastman Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4345 Fort Henry Dr	open
Stone Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1501 E Stone Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3200 Fort Henry Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1233 N Eastman Rd	open
Susie's Specialty Wedding Cake	Bakery	Bakery	675 Rock Springs Rd	open
Sweet Spoon Frozen Treats	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	2101 Fort Henry Dr Ste 113	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1221 N Eastman Rd	open
Tamikos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	1789 N Eastman Rd	open
Tcby	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1229 N Eastman Rd	open
Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	116 Jack White Dr	open
The Big Orange	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ		open
The Bohemian Kingsport	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2649 Fort Henry Dr	open
The Chop House The Chop House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1704 N Eastman Rd	open
The Lockett House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings		open
The One Saigon-Food Truck	Food truck	Vietnamese · Asian	1711 Fort Henry Dr	open
The Stone	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3500 Fort Henry Dr	open
Triple G Homestead	Bakery	Bakery	241 Island Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee	1229 N Eastman Road	open
Wasabi Japanese Steakhouse & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	1805 N Eastman Rd	open
Salt Water Willy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Jack White Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	34	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	31	31	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	36	36	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	43	43	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	48	47	18	24	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	45	43	16	23	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	44	42	16	23	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	44	42	15	24	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	46	44	17	24	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	47	47	20	22	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	45	45	19	21	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	42	42	16	21	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	36	36	12	18	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	41	40	11	21	6	1	NAICS2002
2008	42	41	10	23	6	1	NAICS2007
2009	40	39	10	21	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	38	36	9	20	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	44	42	13	21	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	40	39	12	20	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	38	37	11	19	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	40	39	13	19	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	42	41	15	17	7	1	NAICS2012
2016	37	36	14	15	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	40	38	14	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	39	15	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	40	16	15	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	45	44	17	16	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	46	44	17	18	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	47	46	15	20	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	42	15	19	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37664. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37663	3.3 mi	19	2023
37660	3.7 mi	110	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.