BMIE Market 37681

Washington County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,071 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,121 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,756 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$177,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 37681
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2016 (9 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37681. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2016, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.0	54	40%	+21.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.7	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	32.1	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,723	63	40%	+25.0
Median household income (ACS)	65,857	40	40%	+16.1
Households (ACS)	2,464	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.8	99	25%	+24.9
Population (ACS)	5,723	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	65,857	40	20%	+8.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+11.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

Pizza 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Coffee 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Ruth's Doughnuts & Pretzels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		3252 US-11E	open
Bison and Bee Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	119 Dutchy Humphreys Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	3838 Hwy 11 E	open
Mountain View Harbor House Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3241 Highway 11 E	open
Mountain View Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Highway 11 E, Limestone, TN 37681, United States	open
Old Pilot Hill General Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	826 Snapp Bridge Rd	open
Remnant's Rest Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Pizza	529 Big Limestone Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2013	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37681. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37690	3.5 mi	1	2016
37641	4.7 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.