BMIE Market 37760

Jefferson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±759 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±444 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,397 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,190 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,905 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$880 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$238,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,011 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37760
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 28–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37760. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.0	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.3	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	58.4	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,253	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	66,190	41	40%	+16.3
Households (ACS)	4,929	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12	56	35%	+19.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.1	35	25%	+8.6
Population (ACS)	13,253	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,190	41	20%	+8.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.7	60	50%	+30.0
10-year restaurant growth	12	56	30%	+16.7
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (71)

By cuisine

American 18 · Pizza 10 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Cuban 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 18 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Catering 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
60 Beans Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	120 E Broadway Blvd	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1209 Clinch View Circle	open
Asian House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	636 E Broadway Blvd	open
Big Butts BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Hot dogs · American		open
Black Oak Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2513 Black Oak Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	103 Mossy Creek Drive	open
Broadway Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 E Broadway Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	152 East Broadway Bldv	open
Casa Express Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	223 E Broadway Blvd	open
Chick-fil-a	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	809 Ken Sparks Way	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		809 Ken Sparks Way, Maddox Student Activities Center	open
Decadent Dairy Free Delights	Bakery	Bakery	813 Lebanon Rd	open
Dnhmp Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		544 E Broadway Blvd	open
Dock	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2509 Black Oak Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	114 East Broadway Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	305 E Broadway Blvd	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 E Broadway Blvd	open
El Paraiso Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	266 E Broadway Blvd	open
El Sazon Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	221 E Broadway Blvd	open
Energy Systems, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		459 Rocktown Rd	open
Gino's Italian Family	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	226 E Broadway Blvd	open
Gondolier Italian Restaurant & Pizza Gondolier Italian Restaurant & Pizza - Harrogate, TN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	544 E Broadway Blvd	open
Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	244-298 E Broadway Blvd	open
Grillbilly Smoke Catering	Catering	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	902 W Jefferson St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Breakfast · American	546 E Broadway Blvd	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	458 E Broadway Blvd	open
In & Out Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	514 E Broadway Blvd	open
J and J's Lounge	Bar		2028 TN-92	open
JC Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1404 S Sizer Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	644 E Broadway Boulevard	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	281 E Broadway Blvd	open
Lisa's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1712 TN-92	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	113 W Broadway Blvd	open
Maiken from Scratch	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	102 E Old Andrew Johnson Hwy Ste A	open
Maples Library Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1634 Russell Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 W Broadway St	open
Mossback Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 W Old Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
Mossy Creek Roasting Company	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	723 E Main St	open
Mossy's Cafe	Casual dining · Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee · Breakfast	110 E Old Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
Narita Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	211 E Broadway Blvd	open
Off The Hook Lakeside Bar And Grille Off The Hook	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2513 Black Oak Rd	open
Pal's Sudden Service Pal's Church Hill	Quick service	Burgers · American	104 Mossy Creek Dr	open
Palomas Bakery and Restaurant	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	514 E Broadway Blvd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	617 E Broadway Blvd	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	644 E Broadway Blvd	open
Patriot Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2004 Branner Ave Ste 103	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	223 E Broadway Blvd	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	544 E Broadway Blvd	open
Que Sabrosa Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		221 E Broadway Blvd	open
Roble Viejo Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	652 E Broadway Blvd	open
Sang-Wich-Aye	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	153 E Broadway Blvd	open
Sicily Italian cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	223 E Broadway Blvd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	201 East Broadway Boulevard	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	117 W Broadway Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	630 E Broadway Blvd	open
Sweet Cake Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	East, 102 E Old Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
Sweet Swine BBQ and Catering	Catering · Food truck	BBQ	102 E Broadway Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	144 East Broadway Blvd	open
Tdhe, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		157 E Broadway Blvd	open
The Creek Downtown	Coffee shop	Coffee	110 E Old Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
The Hoagie Shop	Other · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	147 W Broadway Blvd Unit 37760	open
The Lounge - Carson-Newman College	Bar		1646 Russell Ave	open
Tienda El Mariachi Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	252 E Broadway Blvd	open
Twin Dragon Hibachi Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	157 E Broadway Blvd	open
Valley of the Dumplin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	537 E Broadway Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	630 E Broadway Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1102 N. Chuckey Pk	open
Whisked Away	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	102 E Old Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
William Peter Cigar Club	Bar		115 W Old A J Hwy	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	508 E Broadway Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	17	5	11	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	5	12	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	6	12	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	22	21	7	14	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	22	21	7	14	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	20	7	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	6	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	30	26	10	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	32	28	12	15	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	34	30	12	15	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	26	10	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	26	11	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	31	28	10	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	25	10	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	25	24	9	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	25	10	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	24	9	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	28	12	15	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	10	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	30	27	9	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	27	9	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	31	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	30	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	29	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	29	10	18	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	28	10	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37760. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37877	4.7 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.