BMIE Market 37909

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,168 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,754 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$312,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37909
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37909. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.5	64	40%	+25.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.4	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	49.9	50	25%	+12.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,774	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	66,984	42	40%	+16.9
Households (ACS)	7,783	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.6	96	25%	+24.0
Population (ACS)	16,774	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	66,984	42	20%	+8.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Akita Hibachi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7419 Middlebrook Pike	open
Bearden Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7419 Middlebrook Pike NW	open
Bojangles	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5916 Middlebrook Pike	open
Camps Chicken Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	open
Chick-fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1017 Francis Rd	open
Dave's Dog House	Catering	Hot dogs · American	7409 Middlebrook Pike	open
Db Subs, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7419 Middlebrook Pike	open
DrunkCity	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3920 Lonas Dr NW	open
El Tipico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4329 Lonas Dr	open
Gino's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7328 Middlebrook Pike	open
Halal To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	7325 Middlebrook Pike	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7501 Middlebrook Pike	open
Judy's Nightclub	Bar		5916 Middlebrook Pike	open
K Bell Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	open
Kazoku hibachi middlebrook pike	Food truck	Japanese · Asian	7501 Middlebrook Pike NW	open
Knoxville Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2815 Sutherland Ave	open
Nixon's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	7419 Middlebrook Pike Ste 106	open
Papermill Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4615 Papermill Dr NW	open
Square One-FCA	Quick service		1531 Dick Lonas Rd	open
Sub Innovations Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	open
Subway Development Of West Central Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	open
Susan's Happy Hour	Bar	American	1482 Amherst Rd	open
The Lunchbox	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1225 E Weisgarber Rd Ste 170	open
The Sassy Grasshopper	Food truck		4119 Lonas Dr	open
Sub South, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6250 Enterprise Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	4	2	—	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	3	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	5	1	—	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	5	2	—	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37909. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37921	2.4 mi	30	2023
37919	2.6 mi	172	2023
37923	3.5 mi	67	2023
37912	4.7 mi	61	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.