BMIE Market 37921
Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,634 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,233 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,639 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,013 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,233 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $226,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,937 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 15.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37921 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 28–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37921. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 64.7 | 65 | 40% | +25.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.4 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 58.6 | 59 | 25% | +14.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,717 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,013 | 30 | 40% | +11.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,634 | 89 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 35% | +19.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.5 | 70 | 25% | +17.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,717 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,013 | 30 | 20% | +5.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 69 | 50% | +34.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 30% | +16.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
American 14 · Sandwiches 12 · Burgers 8 · Bakery 5 · Mexican 5 · Pizza 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · African 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Filipino 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 27 · Specialty food shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Arthur | Other | Sandwiches | 501 Arthur St | open |
| Arby's | Quick service | 2750 Schaad Rd | open | |
| Big Apple Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 2553 Western Ave NW | open |
| BigSiS presented by DoItAll-Eats | Food truck | 1417 Pickett Ave | open | |
| Bluefield Bakehouse | Bakery | Bakery | 5204 Bluefield Rd | open |
| Bojangles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3801 Western Ave | open | |
| Burger Avenue | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4417 Western Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5310 N Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Caltric Tn Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5100 S Middlebrook Pike | open | |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1826 Western Ave | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2835 Schaad Rd | open |
| Courtney's Cakes and Sweet Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5306 N Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Denton Enterprises, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2900 Sheridan St | open | |
| Donut Palace | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2806 Schaad Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4466 Western Ave | open |
| Eat A Bite Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1108 Beaumont Ave | open | |
| Encore Eats followers | Food truck | 1016 Texas Ave | open | |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4419 Western Ave | open |
| Flour Head Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5424 S Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Flowers Baking Co. of Knoxville Flowers' discount Bakery Store | Bakery | Bakery | 3100 NW Park Dr | open |
| Flying Aces | Bar | 1 James White Parkway | open | |
| Fortune, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5737 Western Ave | open | |
| Fu House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4421 Western Ave | open |
| Golden Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5737 Western Ave | open |
| Hamburger Hill Food Truck | Food truck | Burgers · American | 6659 Oak Ridge Hwy | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3718 Western Ave | open |
| Heer Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5746 Western Ave | open | |
| Jackson Brown Chicken and Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1518 University Ave | open |
| Jacob's Deli & Grill | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Burgers | 5307 N Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Jimmy’s Deli Keith Avenue Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 2236 Keith Ave NW | open |
| Kennedy Concepts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5403 N Middlebrook Pike | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4415 Western Ave | open |
| King Cafe | Bar | 5306 N Middlebrook Pike | open | |
| Knox Stove Works | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1318 Proctor St | open | |
| Knoxville, TN Krystal | Quick service | 3910 Western Avenue | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4418 Western Ave | open |
| Krystal Krystal | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3910 Western Ave | open |
| La Fiesta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5707 Western Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4421 Western Ave | open |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4416 Western Ave | open |
| Lonsdale Market and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3208 Rudy St | open |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2758 Schaad Road | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4420 Western Avenue | open |
| Michael D Chase Family Trust | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3001 Industrial Pkwy E | open | |
| Middlebrook Market and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2902 Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Nappy Wingz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 1518 University Ave | open |
| Panda Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4424 Western Ave | open |
| Philippine Egg Roll Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 3605 Western Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5701 Western Ave Knox | open |
| Qman Chews BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | BBQ | 3505 Peachwood Rd | open |
| Rossy's El rincón latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 815 W Baxter Ave | open |
| Shoney's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4410 Western Ave | open |
| Sk African Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3627 Western Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2742 Schaad Road | open |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4410 Western Ave | open | |
| Squisitos Mexicanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1210 Heiskell Ave NW | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2734 Schaad Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4436 Western Avenue | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5501 Middlebrook Pike | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4413 Western Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Potrillo | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2814 Sue Ellen Dr | open |
| Taqueria Estrella | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Tennessee Wine Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 940 Blackstock Ave | open | |
| The Copper Cellar Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3001 Industrial Pkwy E | open | |
| This Is It Wood Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3530 Schaad Rd | open |
| Tracy's Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3913 Western Ave | open |
| Vinny's Market and Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 941 Virginia Ave | open |
| Vista Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3590 Workman Rd | open | |
| Vol Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 3400 Western Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4407 Western Avenue | open |
| Western Avenue Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 4710 Western Ave | open |
| Wrights Cafeteria Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5403 N Middlebrook Pike | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 26 | 8 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 28 | 9 | 17 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 16 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 26 | 7 | 17 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 34 | 32 | 9 | 21 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 32 | 9 | 21 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 33 | 10 | 22 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 30 | 8 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 28 | 7 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 28 | 8 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 28 | 5 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 31 | 6 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 31 | 6 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 31 | 30 | 5 | 20 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |