BMIE Market 37914

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,478 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,005 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,663 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,659 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$218,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37914
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-17.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37914. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.5	61	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.5	44	35%	+15.6
Market Momentum Score	14.1	14	25%	+3.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,478	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	59,856	29	40%	+11.7
Households (ACS)	9,005	84	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-17.2	15	35%	+5.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	68	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	21,478	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	59,856	29	20%	+5.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.2	14	50%	+7.1
10-year restaurant growth	-17.2	15	30%	+4.4
20-year restaurant growth	-22.6	13	20%	+2.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (69)

By cuisine

American 19 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 10 · Burgers 6 · Pizza 6 · BBQ 5 · Mexican 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 16 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
300 Visions	Bar		2513 Martin Luther King Jr Ave	open
Advance Fun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	447 S Cherry St	open
Alcoa/Maryville McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2501 E Magnolia Ave	open
Arby's	Quick service		7122 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Arby's	Quick service		2657 E Magnolia Ave	open
Armstrong's	Casual dining · Bar		3307 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Authentic Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2601 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Baker Boy Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	701 N Cherry St #103	open
Big O's Famous BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	6247 Royal River Dr	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7107 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Bros. Management, Inc. Dba Cochran Family Mcdonalds	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2501 E Magnolia Ave	open
Buddy's Bar-B-Q Buddy's bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3700 E Magnolia Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7206 Region Ln	open
Cantina Amigos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7224 Region Ln	open
Captain Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2701 E Magnolia Ave	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2801 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Chandler's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3101 E Magnolia Ave	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	7210 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1510 Cracker Barrel Ln. I-40 & Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Dulcie's Cafe	Café	Caribbean · Coffee	703 N Cherry St	open
Ely pagoada	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2541 Linden Ave	open
Family Ties Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2908 E Magnolia Ave	open
Freakyz Wingz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2517 Martin Luther King Jr Ave	open
Friends BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2580 E Magnolia Ave	open
Golden Wok Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7116 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Habaneros Mexican Restaurant Habaneros Modern Taco Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4704 Asheville Hwy	open
Hardee's	Quick service		3946 Asheville Hwy	open
Hardee’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4315 Rutledge Pike	open
Hobart Sales and Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2626 E Magnolia Ave	open
Hollywood Lounge	Bar		3522 E Governor John Sevier Hwy.	open
Hot Stuff Pizza Hot Stuff Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2801 Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3700 Boyds Bridge Pike	open
Jazzy Lynn's	Casual dining · Bar	American	4680 Holston Dr	open
Keurig Green Mountain	Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3109 Water Plant Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1030 Shumard Lane	open
Kings & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	2816 E Magnolia Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3522 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	7215 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Krystal	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7215 Strawbery Plns Pike	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	5320 Millertown Pike	open
Lema's World's Famous Chittlins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3931 Holston Dr	open
Let's Go To Granny's	Food truck	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4503 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	2800 E Magnolia Ave NE	open
Long John Silver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2816 E Magnolia Ave	open
Lunch House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3816 Holston Dr	open
Medusa	Bar		2525 Martin Luther King Jr Ave	open
Patches BBQ & More (East)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2507 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Perk City	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3229 E Magnolia Ave	open
Philippine Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3225 Magnolia Ave.	open
Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3132 E Magnolia Ave	open
Puleo's Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	7224 Region Ln	open
Quality Bakers of Tennessee, LLC	Bakery	Bakery	4529 Holston Dr	open
Red Fez Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3201 E Magnolia Ave	open
Retro Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3821 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Rosarita's Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2816 E Magnolia Ave	open
Safari Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3500 Knoxville Zoo Dr	open
Schneider Drop Yard- Knoxville Tennessee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3708 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Scott's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4700 Asheville Hwy	open
Shagbark Barbecue Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7228 Region Ln	open
Shoney's Shoney's Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4020 Rutledge Pike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7210 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7211 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Tammy's Fish & Fried Green Tomatoes	Food truck	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4033-4099 Holston Dr	open
Truth Private Lounge	Bar		4802 Asheville Hwy	open
United Parcel Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3718 E Governor John Sevier Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	5416 Asheville Hwy	open
Waterice n Thangz	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3600 E Magnolia Ave	open
Whispers Social Lounge	Bar		2658 E Magnolia Ave	open
Wok N Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	2828 E Magnolia Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	33	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	35	33	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	33	29	9	17	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	32	29	8	17	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	31	30	8	20	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	32	32	11	20	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	36	32	12	19	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	34	31	11	20	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	35	33	10	23	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	35	33	10	23	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	31	30	9	21	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	28	7	20	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	29	7	21	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	31	30	8	22	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	29	29	8	21	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	30	30	7	23	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	31	31	6	25	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	29	29	6	23	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	31	31	6	25	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	31	29	7	22	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	31	29	7	22	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	29	5	24	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	29	4	25	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	30	4	25	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	30	3	26	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	30	6	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	26	5	20	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	24	7	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37914. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37924	3.1 mi	22	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.