BMIE Market 37924

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,203 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,588 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,259 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,118 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,112 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,751 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$251,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37924
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.9 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37924. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.5	70	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.3	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	12.2	12	25%	+3.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,420	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	80,112	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	5,588	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	35%	+3.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.3	52	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	14,420	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	80,112	62	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.5	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	30%	+3.2
20-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 14 · Burgers 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 4 · BBQ 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 17 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Bakery 2 · Fast casual 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	2912 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5345 Millertown Pike Millertown Pike & Loves Creek Rd	open
Aubrey's Aubrey's Cleveland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	805 Huckleberry Springs Rd	open
Auntie Anne's Pretzels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	3001 Knoxville Ctr Dr Ste 1239	open
B&M Lounge	Bar		8508 Asheville Hwy	open
Back Yard Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5340 Millertown Pike	open
Baked By Qwinn	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7425 Leeper Blake Cir	open
Bradford Catered Events	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7511 Asheville Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5316 Millertown Pike	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5402 Rutledge Pike	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks & Wings	Other	Sandwiches	3051 Kinzel Way	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	3051 Kinzel Way	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3001 Knoxville Center Dr Ste 2223	open
Disco Diner BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	5200 Rutledge Pike	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6402 Asheville Highway	open
Don Pablo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2904 N Mall Rd	open
Doughrific Development	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6215 Riverview Crossing Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6115 Asheville Hwy	open
Famous Wok Of Knoxville Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3051 Kinzel Way	open
Fast Food Site Knoxville	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		29407 knoxville center drive	open
Flyer's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3001 Knoxville Center Dr	open
House Of Thaller Inc Salads	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1600 Harris Rd	open
Its All About The Fudge	Dessert	American	7121 Asheville Hwy	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5266 Millertown Pike	open
Knoxville, TN Krystal	Quick service		5320 Millertown Pike	open
LIN's Asian Mobile Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	6316 Asheville Hwy	open
Mandarin Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3001 Knoxville Center Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7402 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Oak Lounge	Bar		7211 Asheville Hwy	open
Oriental Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3001 Knoxville Center Dr #2111	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	7400 Sawyer Ln	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6215 riverview crossing	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5338 Millertown Pike Knox	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	210 Andrew Johnson Hwy	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	6210 Asheville Hwy	open
Rek’D Robin BBQ & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers · American	8534 Asheville Hwy	open
Renea's Place Bar	Bar		6343 Rutledge Pike	open
Saddle Bags Bar And Grill	Bar		8503 Old Rutledge Pike	open
Sarku Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	3001 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Smokin' J's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5200 Rutledge Pike	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2712 Loves Creek	open
Strawberry plains slices and scoops	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	8106 Asheville Hwy	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	3001 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6217 Riverview Crossing Dr	open
Tackle Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7020 Asheville Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5322 Millertown Pike	open
Taco Madres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2916 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Tangerine Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5328 Millertown Pike	open
Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3001 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	3071 Kinzel Way	open
The Coffee Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	3001 Knoxville Center Dr Ste F4	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	7414 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7414 STRAWBERRY, PLAINS PK I 40 EX398	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7407 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2904 Knoxville Center Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6201 Asheville Hwy	open
Yummy Eats	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8742 Strawberry Plains Pike	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Chicken / wings · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	2936 Miller Place Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	28	28	9	16	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	29	29	9	17	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	31	31	12	16	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	32	30	12	16	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	33	30	13	15	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	32	30	11	17	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	32	30	13	16	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	34	31	11	19	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	32	31	12	18	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	11	16	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	32	31	10	18	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	31	30	9	18	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	31	9	19	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	31	29	10	16	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	33	31	11	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	32	30	11	16	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	33	31	11	18	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	33	32	11	18	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	29	29	10	17	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	30	9	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	27	8	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	28	9	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	26	6	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	24	7	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	22	8	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37924. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37914	3.1 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.