BMIE Market 40258
Jefferson County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,465 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $68,162 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,357 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $183,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 40258 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -10.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 31–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 40258. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 69.6 | 70 | 40% | +27.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54.2 | 54 | 35% | +19.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.3 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,841 | 87 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,162 | 44 | 40% | +17.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,684 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.3 | 63 | 25% | +15.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,841 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,162 | 44 | 20% | +8.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.2 | 17 | 50% | +8.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
American 17 · Burgers 9 · Pizza 9 · Mexican 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Cuban 2 · Seafood 2 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 25 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5o2 Water Ice - Premium Italian Ice | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6405 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Al Forno | Rated Louisville's #1 Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 8610 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Authentic Caribbean Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9100 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| B J's Sports Pub | Bar | 8238 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Babie Bac'z Good Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 8533 Terry Rd | open |
| Bearnos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7895 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Big"G"S Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6335 Hackel Dr | open | |
| Bone Yard Bar | Bar | 7844 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Bonnie & Clyde's Pizza Parlor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7611 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 6801 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6300 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6902 Dixie Highway | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 6630 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6641 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Chilitos Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8021 Dixie Hwy #105 | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8507 Terry Rd | open |
| Cuban KY Restaurant & Grocery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 7844 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | Park Place Mall, 9080 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Derby City Pizza Co. Derby City Pizza Company "PRP" | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5603 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Dixie & Elize Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 9060 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Dragon City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6413 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Sandwiches · Coffee · Dessert | 8400 Dixie Hwy | open |
| El Rodeo Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 5204 Elzie Rd | open |
| Fire Fresh BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 8610 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Fit Life Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9100 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9050 Dixie Highway 104 | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | 8700 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Frisch's Big Boy | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Burgers · American | 7401 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Frontier Diner And Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7299 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Fugi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Japanese · Sushi | 6801 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Fuji Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6801 Dixie Hwy #102 | open |
| Future Pizza Makers Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5603 Greenwood Rd | open | |
| Glez Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 7721 Alyssum Dr | open |
| green sky restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5114 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Hardee's | Quick service | 7301 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5115 Greenwood Rd | open |
| J. Gumbo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6661 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Kabuki Food Truck Dixie Hwy Kabuki Food Truck Louisville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7249 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Key Logistics | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5600 Cane Run Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6908 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Las Chamas Venezuelan Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 8019 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Lindsay's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5300 Cane Run Rd | open |
| Long John Silver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 8507 Terry Rd | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8800 Dixie Hwy Ste E | open |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 9050 Dixie Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6400 Greenwood Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8600 Dixie Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6701 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Mediterranean Gyros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 6801 Dixie Hwy Ste 150 | open |
| Mg Entertainment | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7017 Global Dr | open | |
| MG's Prime Time Bar and Event Center | Bar | 7017 Global Dr | open | |
| Mike Linnig's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 9308 Cane Run Rd | open |
| Mr Gatti's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8594 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Café · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 6900 Dixie Highway | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6661 Dixie Highway | open |
| Pina Fiesta Mexican Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7895 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Po-Z's Kitchen | Café | Coffee · Chicken / wings | 8503 Terry Rd | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 7528 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Ptx Food Corp. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 8340 Cane Run Rd | open | |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6814 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Riverport Grub And Pub | Bar | 7017 Global Dr | open | |
| Ryan Fitzgerald Enterprises, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6630 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Sarda Cuban Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Pizza · Latin American (other) | 7895 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 9060 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Skyline Chili | Casual dining | American | 6801 Dixie Hwy #120 | open |
| South End Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 8610 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Spinelli's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8610 Dixie Hwy | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | Dixie Manor Shopping Center, 6731 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9090 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7001 Global Drive | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 6306 Greenwood Road | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8602 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Quick service | 9050 Dixie Highway | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8596 Dixie Hwy | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7400 Dixie Hwy | open |
| Wingman Pizza & Cooper’S Express | Casual dining | Pizza · Chicken / wings · American | 5607 Greenwood Rd | open |
| Derby City Jerky | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegan | 8001 Cane Run Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 52 | 37 | — | — | — | 15 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 46 | 36 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 52 | 39 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 44 | 33 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 39 | 29 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 45 | 37 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 35 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 19 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 35 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 34 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 39 | 14 | 21 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 36 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 38 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 38 | 16 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 21 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 23 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 22 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 33 | 8 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 33 | 8 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2022 |