BMIE Market 41139

Greenup County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±331 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,261 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,271 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,668 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$112,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41139
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41139. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.9	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.4	51	35%	+18.0
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,085	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	59,034	28	40%	+11.2
Households (ACS)	3,261	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.2
Population (ACS)	8,085	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	59,034	28	20%	+5.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · American 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Blue Lounge	Bar		7900 Poplar Ridge Dr	open
Candyland Creations By N & M	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2135 Argillite Rd Ste G	open
D&s Custom Designs and Izzie's Sweet Melts	Dessert	Dessert	948 Gilley St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	912 Bellefonte Rd	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		912 Bellefonte Rd	open
Farmer's Daughter Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	901 Bellefonte Rd	open
Giovanni's Pizza Giovanni's Fairborn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1703 Argillite Rd	open
Grant, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1703 Argillite Rd	open
Great Taste Chinese Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	2135 Argillite Rd	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1018 Bellefonte Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1802 Argillite Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2133 Argillite Rd	open
Megs Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1908 Argillite Rd	open
My Dad's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1007 Argillite Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1200 Bellefonte Rd Ste 300	open
Pappy's Pizza & Pints	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2135 Argillite Rd Ste K	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1200 Bellefonte Rd #A	open
Taco Brothers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1018 Bellefonte Rd	open
Memories Of Mom Bakeries	Bakery	Bakery	1001 Powell Ln	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	1	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41139. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41169	1.7 mi	3	2021
41183	2.9 mi	5	2023
45638	4.7 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.