BMIE Market 43105

Fairfield County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,982 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±495 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,479 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,261 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,875 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$903 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$340,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43105
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43105. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.5	73	40%	+29.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.4	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	66.5	67	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,982	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	98,583	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	3,479	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	8,982	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	98,583	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1201 Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1201 W Market St	open
Arlington Pizza Pasta Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	949 S Main St	open
Baltimore Pint House	Casual dining · Bar		108 N Main St	open
Creno's Pizza Creno's Pizza Co.	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	107 N Main St	open
Cristy's Pizza Baltimore Cristy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1001 S Main St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	7919 Lancaster-Newark Rd NE	open
Fox + Mulberry	Bakery	Bakery · Vegetarian	114 W Mulberry St	open
Juniper & Ivy	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	200 N Main St	open
Krave Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)		951 S Main St	open
Liberty Tree Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	201 W Market St	open
Lost In The Sauce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	614 N Main St	open
Ma-maw's Diner	Casual dining	American	1001 S Main St Ste 4	open
Papito's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	101 N Basil St	open
Puerto De Vallarta Mexican Restaurant Puerto Vallarta Pataskala Oh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1001 S Main St	open
Roseville Ohio Marshal’s Office	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific		open
Rosewood Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 W Market St	open
RP3	Bar		109 E Market St	open
Schaffner's Drive In	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches	601 W Market St	open
Sis & Harold's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	116 N Basil St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1055 W Market St	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	113 N Main St	open
The Farmhouse Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	201 W Market St	open
The Rosemary Crumb co.	Bakery	Bakery	125 Vivian Ln	open
Weidner's Corner 2 - Baltimore, OH	Casual dining · Bar	American	8010 Lancaster-Newark Rd NE	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43105. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43157	3.8 mi	1	1995
43046	4.5 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.