BMIE Market 43210

Franklin County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	26 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,432 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	414 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$34,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,999 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	19.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43210
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	32 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43210. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	31.9	32	40%	+12.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.7	42	35%	+14.6
Market Momentum Score	48.7	49	25%	+12.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,164	74	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	34,423	3	40%	+1.4
Households (ACS)	26	6	20%	+1.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	35%	+4.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.6	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	12,164	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	34,423	3	20%	+0.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	30%	+4.1
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · American 6 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Café 13 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Quick service 5 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
12th Avenue Bread Company	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	257-261 W 12th Ave	open
Au Bon Pain	Bakery	Bakery	410 W 10th Ave Rm L030	open
Ben's Soft Pretzels Ben's Soft Pretzels	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · American	411 Woody Hayes Dr	open
Berry Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	William Oxley Thompson Library	open
Bistro 2110	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2110 Tuttle Park Pl STE #43	open
Bistroh!	Café	Coffee	410 W 10th Ave	open
Bloch Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	460 W 10th Ave	open
Brenen's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	460 W 12th Ave	open
Brenens Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		460 W 12th Ave	open
Cheryl's	Dessert	Dessert	410 W 10th Ave	open
Connecting Grounds	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	160 W Woodruff Ave	open
Espress-OH @ The Ohio Union	Coffee shop	Coffee	1739 N High St	open
EspressOasis EspressOasis	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	410 W 10th Ave	open
Fruity BAE	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	12 E 16th Ave	open
Heirloom Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Vegetarian	1871 N High St	open
Mirror Lake Eatery	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1760 Neil Ave	open
Ohio State Bread Club	Bakery	Bakery	Rpac, 337 W 17th Ave	open
Osu Scott Traditions	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		160 W Woodruff Ave	open
Oxley's To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2050 Tuttle Park Pl	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	451 W 10th Ave	open
Rohr Café	Café	Coffee	250 W Woodruff Ave	open
Savvy Sliders	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2106 N High St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1892 N. High St	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		601 Vernon L Tharp St	open
Terra Byte Cafe (SEL)	Café	Coffee	175 W 18th Ave	open
The Blatz Tailgate	Bar		2120 Fyffe Rd	open
The Caffeine Element	Restaurant (service type not stated)		376 W 10th Ave Fl Columbus # 1	open
The Huntington Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Ohio Stadium, 411 Woody Hayes Dr	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	555 Borror Dr,	open
University Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1739 N High St	open
Wall Street Deli	Other	Sandwiches	451 W 10th Ave	open
Wall Street Deli	Other	Sandwiches	1739 N High St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	450 W 10th Ave	open
Woody's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1739 N High St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	9	2	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	9	2	4	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	8	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	1	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	—	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	—	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	—	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	—	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	—	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	10	—	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	10	—	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	—	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	—	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	—	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	7	—	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43210. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43202	1.0 mi	54	2023
43201	1.5 mi	139	2023
43212	1.8 mi	100	2023
43211	2.8 mi	6	2023
43215	2.8 mi	193	2023
43221	3.1 mi	59	2023
43214	3.1 mi	78	2023
43222	3.2 mi	11	2023
43203	3.6 mi	10	2023
43224	3.9 mi	34	2023
43220	4.0 mi	78	2023
43204	4.5 mi	26	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.