BMIE Market 43221

Franklin County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,033 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±980 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,265 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,175 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,387 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$446,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	59 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43221
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	63 (range 60–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43221. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.4	91	40%	+36.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.8	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	60.4	60	25%	+15.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,293	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	118,768	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	14,953	93	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.7	59	35%	+20.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.7	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	35,293	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	118,768	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.3	64	50%	+32.1
10-year restaurant growth	15.7	59	30%	+17.8
20-year restaurant growth	31.1	53	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (110)

By cuisine

Coffee 18 · American 13 · Pizza 12 · Italian 11 · Bakery 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Dessert 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Mexican 7 · Asian 6 · Breakfast 6 · Japanese 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sushi 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Café 15 · Bar 14 · Coffee shop 14 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 10 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Other 6 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alberta's Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1991 Riverside Dr	open
Ambassador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1991 Riverside Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3650 Riverside Dr	open
Barclay Pipe Tobacco And Cigar	Bar		1685 W Lane Ave	open
Basil Thai Cafe Riverside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3706 Riverside Dr	open
Bitty & Beau’s Coffee Bitty & Beau's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3110 Kingsdale Center	open
Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2199 Riverside Dr	open
Bonsai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	3108 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Brassica in Upper Arlington	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Healthy / salads / bowls	1442 W Lane Ave	open
Bruegger's Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	1621 W Lane Ave	open
Caffe DaVinci	Café	Italian · Pizza · Coffee	3080 Tremont Rd	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee Eskisehir doktorlar	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	2468 Northwest Blvd	open
Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3080 Tremont Rd	open
Carsonie's Stromboli & Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1725 W Lane Ave	open
Chef-O-Nette Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	2090 Tremont Ctr	open
Cheryl's Cheryl's Cookies and Brownies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1641 W Lane Ave	open
China Dynasty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1689 W Lane Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3090 Kingsdale Ctr	open
CHOP5 Salad Kitchen CHOP5 Salads & Bowls	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1305 W Lane Ave	open
Coffee + Cone at the Mallway	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1966 N Mallway Dr	open
Colin's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2812 Fishinger Rd	open
Colin's Coffee	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	3714 Riverside Dr	open
Core Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3200 Tremont Rd	open
Crimson Cup Coffee Shop - Upper Arlington	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2468 Northwest Blvd	open
Cuzzins Frozen Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1629 W Lane Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2185 Riverside Dr	open
Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5143 Drumcliff Ct	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3000 Northwest Boulevard	open
Eastern Bay Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2055 Riverside Dr	open
El Vaquero Mexican Restaurant El Vaquero Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2195 Riverside Dr	open
Everbowl Everbowl	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1303 W Lane Ave	open
Figlio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3712 Riverside Dr	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3144 Kingsdale Center	open
Freeze Style Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Tea / bubble tea · Dessert	1731 W Lane Ave	open
Gallos Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2820 Nottingham Rd	open
Graeter's Ice Cream Graeter's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1534 W Lane Ave	open
HobNob Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2102 Tremont Ctr	open
Houlihan's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3150 Tremont Rd	open
Hudson 29 Kitchen and Drink	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sushi · Japanese	1600 W Lane Ave	open
Humble Donut Co. Humble Donut Co.	Other · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3130 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Izakaya Ryu Fukuryu Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1600 West Lane Ave Ste 160	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1293 West Lane Ave.	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3241 Tremont Rd	open
KiKyo Sushi + Sake Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	3706 Riverside Dr	open
Kim Hyunsook Aun Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3108 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Kingsdale Upper Arlingotn 4 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3140 Kingsdale Ctr	open
La Chatelaine French Bakery and Bistro La Chatelaine French Bakery & Bistro	Bakery	French · European · Bakery	1550 W Lane Ave	open
La Loma Columbus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3051 Northwest Blvd	open
Leonildo's restaurant (PP )	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2552 Wellesley Dr	open
Leonildo's restaurant (PP)	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2552 Wellesley Dr	open
Local Cantina Upper Arlington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1670 W Lane Ave Ste 150	open
Lupo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean	2124 Arlington Ave	open
Mai Chau Truck	Food truck		2050 Kenny Rd	open
MC Raae	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	2812 Fishinger Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3746 Riverside Dr	open
MCL Restaurant and Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3154 Kingsdale Center	open
Michaels & Associates	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3568 Mountshannon Rd	open
Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1305 W Lane Ave	open
Moretti's of Arlington	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2124 Tremont Ctr	open
Niko's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3145 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Organic Trails Cafes Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1442 W Lane Ave	open
Osu Golf Club Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3653 Tremont Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	3278 Tremont Rd	open
Paris Baguette	Coffee shop	Coffee	1369 West Lane Ave	open
Park Creek Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2124 Arlington Ave	open
Passport 196	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2816 Fishinger Rd	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2468 Northwest Blvd	open
Pho Asian Noodle House and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho	1288 W Lane Ave	open
Piada Italian Street Food Piada Italian Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Sandwiches	1315 W Lane Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1397 W Lane Ave	open
Pointe Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian	1991 Riverside Dr	open
Purple Sage Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1962 N Mallway Dr	open
Rancho Alegre Don Tequila Mexican seafood & taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3140 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Royal Ginger Asian Fusion Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1625 W Lane Ave	open
Rusty Bucket Restaurant and Tavern Rusty Bucket Restaurant and Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	1635 W Lane Ave	open
Sadie and Maddison Bakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2619 Andover Rd	open
Schakolad Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3219 Tremont Rd	open
Shepard Baking	Bakery	Bakery	2850 Tremont Rd	open
Silver River Restaurant	Bar		2550 Riverside Dr	open
SOLO Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Pizza	1504 Essex Rd	open
South Of Lane	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1987 Guilford Rd	open
SOW Plated	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Healthy / salads / bowls	1625 W Lane Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1873 W Henderson Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1315 W Lane Ave, Festival Square, Ste H	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3235 Tremont Rd The Shoppes At Tremont	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3566 Riverside Dr	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	1981 Riverside Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1320 W Lane Ave	open
Tai's Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1285 W Lane Ave	open
Tandoori Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1677 W Lane Ave	open
Tapped and Uncorked	Bar		2124 Arlington Ave	open
Team Holowicki	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 Riverside Dr	open
The Daily Growler	Bar		2812 Fishinger Rd	open
The Old Bag of Nails Pub Old Bag of Nails Lansing	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	British / Irish pub food · American	2102 Tremont Ctr	open
The Original Goodie Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2116 Tremont Ctr	open
The Original Pancake House The Original Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1633 W Lane Ave	open
The Wine Bistro The Wine Bistro Lane Avenue	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1750 W Lane Ave	open
Tikka Masala Indian Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Indian	3108 Kingsdale Center	open
Tommy's Pizza Tommy's.Pizza.skg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1350 W Lane Ave	open
Tot Vietnamnoms	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	3108 Kingsdale Ctr	open
Tupelo Honey Tupelo Honey Southern Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1678 W Lane Ave	open
Upper Arlington Piada Italian Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1315 W Lane Ave, Columbus, OH 43221	open
W G Grinders	Other	Sandwiches	2820 Fishinger Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3040 Northwest Blvd.	open
WFM Coffee Bar Allegro Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1555 W Lane Ave	open
Whit's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2124 Arlington Ave	open
Wine/dine Westerville, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1085 Fishinger Rd	open
Wings Over Columbus	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1315 W Lane Ave	open
Yabo's Tacos - Upper Arlington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3051 Northwest Blvd	open
Skyward Grille Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2185 Riverside Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	42	40	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	42	41	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	47	45	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	51	49	20	17	8	1	NAICS1997
1999	46	44	20	12	9	2	NAICS1997
2000	48	45	18	16	8	1	NAICS1997
2001	49	45	18	17	7	2	NAICS1997
2002	49	41	15	15	8	5	NAICS1997
2003	50	45	13	21	10	2	NAICS2002
2004	50	45	13	20	11	2	NAICS2002
2005	49	44	14	19	10	2	NAICS2002
2006	46	42	14	19	8	1	NAICS2002
2007	49	47	19	19	8	1	NAICS2002
2008	46	45	20	16	8	1	NAICS2007
2009	43	42	18	15	8	1	NAICS2007
2010	44	43	20	12	10	1	NAICS2007
2011	53	52	24	15	12	1	NAICS2007
2012	52	50	23	13	13	2	NAICS2012
2013	53	51	23	15	12	2	NAICS2012
2014	56	54	25	16	12	2	NAICS2012
2015	57	53	24	17	11	2	NAICS2012
2016	58	54	25	17	11	2	NAICS2012
2017	55	52	24	18	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	60	55	26	21	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	59	55	25	21	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	60	56	22	24	9	—	NAICS2017
2021	64	60	22	28	9	—	NAICS2017
2022	65	60	22	29	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	63	59	24	27	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43221. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43220	1.8 mi	78	2023
43212	3.1 mi	100	2023
43210	3.1 mi	8	2023
43202	3.3 mi	54	2023
43214	3.7 mi	78	2023
43235	3.9 mi	97	2023
43204	4.3 mi	26	2023
43201	4.5 mi	139	2023
43222	4.8 mi	11	2023
43228	4.9 mi	114	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.