BMIE Market 43331

Logan County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,485 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$910 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$145,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43331
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43331. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.7	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.0	53	35%	+18.6
Market Momentum Score	73.0	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,106	57	40%	+22.9
Median household income (ACS)	60,980	31	40%	+12.5
Households (ACS)	2,094	62	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.5	39	25%	+9.6
Population (ACS)	4,106	57	20%	+11.5
Median household income (ACS)	60,980	31	20%	+6.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bailey's Landing Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	110 N Main St	open
Brothers Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	St Rt 366	open
Brown Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13627 State Route 235 N	open
Buckeye at The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	11977 OH-235	open
CJ's Lakeside Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		105 E Lake St	open
El Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	110 West Lake	open
Froggy's at the Lake	Casual dining · Bar	American	11065 Co Rd 293	open
Holder's Hideaway	Bar		105 E Lake St	open
Honey Bee's Cafe and Ice Cream	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	110 N Main St	open
La Playa \| Cocina & Cantina • Indian Lake	Bar		305 E Harrison St	open
Northside Dairy Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13335 State Route 235	open
Northside Dairybar	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	245 North St	open
Padrone's Pizza - Lakeview	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	250 E Lake St	open
Shakes at the lake	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13305 OH-235	open
Smokin Bob's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	11365 Kickapoo Path	open
The Gettin' Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13534 State Route 235, 13534 State Route 235	open
Tilton Hilton	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10861 Township Rd 293	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	4	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	11	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	8	6	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43331. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45870	3.1 mi	1	2015
43348	4.2 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.