BMIE Market 43528
Lucas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,207 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,089 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,410 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,430 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,806 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $93,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,885 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $276,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 18.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43528 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 23.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +2.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +51.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 42–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43528. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.4 | 77 | 40% | +31.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.6 | 54 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 54.5 | 54 | 25% | +13.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,207 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,986 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,410 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 2.3 | 48 | 35% | +16.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.2 | 23 | 25% | +5.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,207 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,986 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.3 | 64 | 50% | +32.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 2.3 | 48 | 30% | +14.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 10 | 40 | 20% | +7.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (83)
By cuisine
American 16 · Sandwiches 11 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 7 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Italian 5 · Mediterranean 5 · Middle Eastern 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 19 · Bar 11 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 4 · Catering 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Happiness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 845 S McCord Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6723 Airport Hwy | open |
| Arturo's Fritz & Alfredos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1007 S McCord Rd | open |
| Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee 419 | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6910 Airport Hwy Ste 1 | open |
| Black Frog Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 831 S McCord Rd | open | |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 6435 Centers Dr | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6550 Airport Hwy | open |
| Budz & Sudz Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7103 Orchard Centre Dr | open | |
| Bunker Bar - Holland, OH | Casual dining · Catering · Bar | 1950 S Eber Rd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6630 Airport Hwy | open |
| Cabo Cantina | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1007 S McCord Rd | open |
| Cheers Sports Eatery | Bar · Casual dining | American | 7131 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 6720 Airport Hwy | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6505 Centers Drive | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6658 Airport Hwy Ste C | open |
| Chitter Chatter Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8144 Airport Hwy | open |
| Cinco De Mayo Cinco de Mayo Mexican Bar & Grill | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7011 Airport Hwy | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6600 Centers Dr | open |
| Deet's Smokehouse | Catering · Quick service | BBQ | 1226 S McCord Rd | open |
| Family Activities Club | Bar | 6202 Trust Dr | open | |
| Firepit Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 7723 Airport Hwy | open |
| Goodman Bookkeeping & Tax Services | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7429 International Dr Ste B | open | |
| Grape Leaf Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 909 S McCord Rd | open |
| Gyro & Kabob Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 7130 Airport Hwy, OH-2 | open |
| Hall by Sir.Blairee Café LLC. | Café | Coffee | 7831 Airport Hwy | open |
| Harvest - Sandwiches and Craft Beer | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bar | Sandwiches | 8060 Airport Hwy | open |
| Hibachi Supreme Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | Spring Meadows | open |
| Holloway Beverage Center | Bar | 7130 Airport Hwy | open | |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1510 S McCord Rd | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 6535 Airport Hwy | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6505 Centers Drive | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 6515 Airport Highway | open |
| Johann's Cheesecake & Bake Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 6202 Trust Dr | open |
| Joyfully Risen LLC | Bakery | Bakery | 7300 Apache Trl | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7150 Orchard Centre Drive | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9140 Angola Rd | open |
| Lantern House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 908 Clarion Ave # 9639 | open | |
| LaVie Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern · Mexican | 1572 Spring Meadows Dr | open |
| LaVie Mediterranean Grille | Delivery-focused | Halal / kosher · Mediterranean | 1572 Spring Meadows Dr | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1331 S McCord Rd | open |
| Long John Silver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 7150 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Luminous Consulting Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7100 Spring Meadows West Dr Ste C | open | |
| Mama Mary's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7130 Airport Hwy | open |
| Mancino's Pizza & Grinders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 6650 Centers Dr | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6825 Spring Valley Dr | open |
| Mattress Firm Spring Meadows | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 6540 Centers Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6555 Airport Hwy | open |
| Mike's Pizza and More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 847 S McCord Rd | open |
| Netty's | Quick service · Dessert | Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 904 Clark St | open |
| New Airport Lounge | Bar | 7130 Airport Hwy #4 | open | |
| New Empire Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6540 Centers Dr | open |
| Packo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 7059 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 6629 Airport Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 6658 Airport Hwy | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6535 Airport Highway | open | |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1266 S Holland Sylvania Rd | open |
| Pita Pit | Other | Sandwiches | 6504 Airport Hwy, | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 7350 Airport Hwy | open |
| Queen Bee & Honey Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1710 Perrysburg Holland Rd | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 6550 Airport Highway | open |
| Ralphie's Sports Eatery Ralphie’s Sports Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · American | 6609 Airport Hwy | open |
| Rml Investments, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7131 Orchard Centre Dr | open | |
| Rudy's Hot Dog Rudy's Hot Dog | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Burgers · American | 7170 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Sam's Club Bakery Sam's Club | Bakery | Bakery | 1300 E Mall Dr | open |
| Spicy Tuna Sushi Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Japanese · Sushi | 7130 Airport Hwy #10 | open |
| Spring Buffet | Buffet | 1550 Spring Meadows Dr | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7059 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 1465 E Mall Dr | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6635 Airport Hwy | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1355 S McCord Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6827 Spring Valley Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 7030 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Teah Mediterranean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 7130 Airport Hwy | open |
| Team Tobacco Of Airport Highway Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7130 Airport Hwy | open | |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 6137 Trust Dr | open |
| The Indian Jewel of Toledo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 6711 Airport Hwy | open |
| THE VILLAGE SCOOP | Dessert · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 6901 Angola Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 7140 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Vito's Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 909 S McCord Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 7050 Orchard Centre Dr | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1355 S McCord Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6525 Airport Hwy | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6829 Airport Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 29 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 26 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 31 | 30 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 34 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 39 | 35 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 40 | 22 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 43 | 39 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 39 | 35 | 17 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 40 | 35 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 41 | 19 | 20 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 39 | 17 | 22 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 37 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 38 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 46 | 43 | 20 | 21 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 45 | 42 | 19 | 21 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 43 | 16 | 24 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 47 | 42 | 14 | 25 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 43 | 38 | 11 | 25 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 47 | 42 | 11 | 28 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 53 | 47 | 14 | 28 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 48 | 41 | 11 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 48 | 43 | 11 | 28 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 48 | 44 | 12 | 29 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 47 | 44 | 11 | 30 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 44 | 14 | 28 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 44 | 13 | 29 | — | — | NAICS2022 |