BMIE Market 43617

Lucas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,500 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,940 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$127,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,275 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$286,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,907 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43617
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	38.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+173.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+412.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	46 (range 42–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43617. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.7	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.0	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	68.7	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,534	68	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	127,019	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	3,048	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	48.0	10	25%	+2.6
Population (ACS)	8,534	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	127,019	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.1	62	50%	+30.8
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	30%	+19.9
20-year restaurant growth	173.3	90	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (74)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 12 · Asian 8 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Mediterranean 4 · Chinese 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 15 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 7 · Café 7 · Dessert 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amie's Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6710 W Central Ave	open
Applebee's Sylvania	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7340 W Central Ave,	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7030 W Central Ave	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee 419	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7427 Central Ave	open
Bloudán Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	7430 W Central Ave	open
Boujee Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	2422 Notting Hill Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7447 Central Ave	open
Bw3 Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	6710 W Central Ave	open
Cafe Marie Restaurant Scramblers Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American · Breakfast	6819 W Central Ave	open
Cake In A Cup	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6801 W Central Ave Ste 2	open
Charlie's Restaurant Charlies Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · American	6945 Central Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6636 W Central Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7229 W Central Ave	open
Chubbys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7050 W Central Ave	open
Cinco De Mayo Amigos Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6975 W Central Ave	open
City Barbeque City Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	7402 Central Ave	open
Cookiecuterie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6801 W Central Ave	open
Crumbl Cookies Crumbl	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6710 W Central Ave, Ste 15	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	6920 W Central Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6819 W. Central Ave	open
Domo Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6725 Central Ave	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	6920 Central Ave	open
Fairways Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	8256 W Central Ave	open
Fetoosh Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	6725 W Central Ave	open
Five Guys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6920 Central Avenue, Suite 120	open
Fortune Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6725 Central Ave e	open
Fowl and Fodder	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Breakfast	7408 W Central Ave	open
Frogtown Johnnies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	6725 W Central Ave	open
Gangnam Crispy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	7408 Central Ave	open
Half Time Pizza - Toledo, OH	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7702 W Bancroft St	open
Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7408 W Central Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6710 West Central Avenue Unit 6	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6801 W Central Ave Unit 110	open
Jmb Restaurant Holdings, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3715 King Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6790 W Central Ave	open
Koala Berry	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6710 W Central Ave	open
Kyoto KA Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	6801 W Central Ave	open
La Villa Real Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6975 Central Ave	open
Magic Wok Toledo	Quick service	Asian · Chinese	2720 Centennial Rd	open
Mama Mary's Pizza Sylvania	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6725 W Central Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6801 W Central Ave, Ste A	open
Maumee Trail Investments, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6710 W Central Ave Ste 5	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7159 W Central Ave	open
Meijer	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7240 W Central Ave	open
Nakama - Teriyaki & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7427 Central Ave	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7427 W Central Ave	open
Organic Bliss	Bakery	Bakery	3723 King Rd Ste 200	open
Paddy Jack's	Casual dining · Bar		6725 W Central Ave	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	7330 W Central Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	7115 West Central Avenue	open
Poco Piatti Poco Piatti	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian	6710 W Central Ave	open
Rose Exterminator	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2620 Centennial Rd	open
San Francisco Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6975 W Central Ave	open
Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3785 King Ave	open
Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3785 King Ave	open
Scramblers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2778 Centennial Rd	open
Shawn's Irish Tavern - Sylvania Shawn's Irish Tavern - Toledo	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	7436 W Bancroft St	open
Si’s X Million's Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7340 W Central Ave	open
Star Diner IV Star Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6710 Central Ave #21	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6975 W Central Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6975-7007 West Central Ave. Bldg. II, Suite D	open
Sylvan Towne Dr & King Rd. Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3785 King Rd.	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7246 West Central Ave.	open
Taste Wine Bar	Bar		6801 W Central Ave	open
The Jewel of Toledo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	7406 Central Ave	open
Tiger Bakery & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Middle Eastern · Sandwiches · Mediterranean	6710 W Central Ave	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	6815 W Central Ave	open
Tougen Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7414 W Central Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	7427 W Central Avenue	open
Ventura's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7742 W Bancroft St	open
Vine2Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		7105 Central Ave	open
Voodoo Brewing Co - Toledo, OH Voodoo Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		7050 Central Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6725 W Central Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7351 W Central	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	10	4	4	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	12	4	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	22	19	9	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	7	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	22	20	9	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	25	23	9	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	30	28	11	15	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	33	30	12	15	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	33	30	13	13	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	31	29	13	13	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	33	31	14	14	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	37	35	16	15	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	35	33	14	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	36	34	15	15	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	33	31	14	13	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	35	33	15	14	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	42	39	15	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	41	39	15	21	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	38	13	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	38	10	23	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	38	12	23	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	44	42	13	25	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	41	14	23	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43617. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43560	2.6 mi	54	2023
43528	2.7 mi	44	2023
43615	3.1 mi	63	2023
43623	4.8 mi	101	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.