BMIE Market 43906

Belmont County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,779 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,678 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,243 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,717 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$113,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43906
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	34 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43906. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.0	45	40%	+18.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.1	37	35%	+13.0
Market Momentum Score	13.4	13	25%	+3.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,779	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	46,380	11	40%	+4.4
Households (ACS)	3,527	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-27.3	11	35%	+3.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.8
Population (ACS)	7,779	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	46,380	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	-27.3	11	30%	+3.2
20-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	20%	+1.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
24-7 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3031 Belmont St	open
Around the World Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	112 2nd Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2544 Belmont St	open
Community Coffee and Tea	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	3391 Belmont St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	3898 Noble St	open
Denny's Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3268 Belmont St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2405 Belmont Street	open
Flanagan's	Bar · Casual dining		3163 Belmont St	open
Gulla's Lunch	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	3073 Belmont St	open
Lil' Gerardo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3393 Belmont St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	300 28th St	open
Roosevelt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3175 Union St	open
Sakura Asian Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3293 Belmont St	open
Sno-Biz	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	2 Commerce Pkwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2998 Belmont St	open
Unique Treats By Jacquie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3050 Belmont St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	15	11	4	6	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	4	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	3	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	15	11	3	7	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	17	14	4	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	4	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	4	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	15	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	3	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	2	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	2	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43906. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43940	1.6 mi	—
43909	3.9 mi	1	1998
43928	3.9 mi	—
43947	4.0 mi	8	2023
26040	4.5 mi	1	2016
43934	4.6 mi	1	2015

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.