BMIE Market 43947

Belmont County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,893 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,322 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,581 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43947
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43947. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.2	47	40%	+18.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.6	36	35%	+12.4
Market Momentum Score	28.9	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,893	60	40%	+24.0
Median household income (ACS)	58,269	27	40%	+10.7
Households (ACS)	2,206	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.4	48	25%	+12.0
Population (ACS)	4,893	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	58,269	27	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

American 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blossoms Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	3790 Central Ave	open
Carlinis Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4010 Central Ave	open
Central Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	3882 Central Ave	open
Coffee Central	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	4001 Central Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3795 Central Ave	open
DeFelice Bros Pizza DeFelice Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3788 Central Ave	open
Good Thymes	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4211 Central Ave	open
Hometown Buffet	Buffet		61060 Webb Heights Rd	open
Ming Moon Ming Moon Birmingham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3531 Central Ave	open
Shady Spot Tavern & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3826 Central Ave	open
South End Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		57060 Wegee Pike	open
Tiger Pub	Casual dining · Bar		3932 Central Ave	open
Village Dairy Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast	3844 Central Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	8	4	3	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	4	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	5	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	5	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43947. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
26038	3.6 mi	3	2016
26040	3.7 mi	1	2016
43906	4.0 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.