BMIE Market 43912

Belmont County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±248 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,377 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,668 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,845 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$121,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43912
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43912. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.1	47	40%	+18.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.6	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	66.4	66	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,738	63	40%	+25.0
Median household income (ACS)	55,668	23	40%	+9.0
Households (ACS)	2,615	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.2	39	25%	+9.9
Population (ACS)	5,738	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	55,668	23	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	-8.3	17	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	103 Aetna St	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	70 Statae Route 7	open
Casey's Family Restaurant And Sports Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		72100 Colerain Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	883 National Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	422 Howard Street	open
Fuji Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	56104 National Rd Ste 109	open
Grover & Weisal Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		883 National Rd	open
Hardee's	Quick service		118 1st St	open
Ice Cream by Bryant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		734 Main St	open
Ideal Provisions	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	210 Willow Ave	open
Johnnys Bar	Casual dining · Bar		308 Main St	open
Olivia’s Cakes and Creations LLC	Bakery	Bakery	71139 Sharon Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	333 Main St	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55800 National Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	677 Main St Belmont	open
Sha Nay Nay's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	896 National Rd	open
Sonny Boy Restaurant Sonny's BBQ	Casual dining	American	881 National Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	895 National Rd	open
The Crumby Apron-Walker's Ice Cream	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	72100 Colerain Rd	open
The Fat Apple	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	225 Main St	open
Wendys	Quick service		56120 National Rd	open
Winky's Bar	Bar · Casual dining		68190 Adolph St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	16	11	4	6	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	17	13	4	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	4	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	4	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	2	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	2	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43912. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43934	1.0 mi	1	2015
43909	2.0 mi	1	1998
43905	2.7 mi	1	2002
43935	3.5 mi	7	2023
43940	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.