BMIE Market 43935

Belmont County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,710 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,943 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,358 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,219 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$103,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43935
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43935. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.2	45	40%	+18.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.1	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	60.9	61	25%	+15.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,083	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	45,923	10	40%	+4.2
Households (ACS)	3,710	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	78	25%	+19.4
Population (ACS)	8,083	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	45,923	10	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bar 5 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Belmont Brewerks	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		15 S 4th St	open
DeFelice Bros Pizza DeFelice Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	315 S 4th St	open
Double D's Bar-B-Q and Grill, LLC	Bar · Casual dining		58800 Glenns Run Rd	open
Last Lap Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	620 N Zane Hwy	open
Martins Ferry Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	305 S 4th St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	300 Hanover St	open
New Hongkong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	18 S 4th St	open
Nickles Bakery Inc	Bakery	Bakery	1000 Broadway St	open
Redmen's Club	Bar		10 S 5th St	open
Rose Cafe Martins Ferry, Ohio	Café	Coffee · Italian · American		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1 S 4th St	open
Sugar Mama's Sweet Shop	Dessert	Dessert	10 N 4th St	open
Take Me Home Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	57640 Main St	open
The Gold	Bar		5 S 5th St	open
TOKYO Hibachi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	402 Aetna St	open
Zontini's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 S 4th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	16	10	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	14	7	1	5	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	14	6	2	3	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	16	7	2	4	1	7	NAICS1997
2001	11	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	13	8	2	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	12	7	1	6	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	10	6	2	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	1	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	7	1	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	1	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	1	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43935. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43971	3.0 mi	2	2013
43912	3.5 mi	11	2023
43934	4.2 mi	1	2015
43963	4.2 mi	2	2016
43939	4.5 mi	1	1999
43905	5.0 mi	1	2002

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.