BMIE Market 44001

Lorain County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,448 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±459 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,194 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,769 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,552 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,139 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,062 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44001
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 43–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44001. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.7	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.1	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	35.4	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,448	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	90,139	73	40%	+29.3
Households (ACS)	8,194	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	35%	+17.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.6	38	25%	+9.6
Population (ACS)	21,448	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	90,139	73	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.3	25	50%	+12.5
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	30%	+14.9
20-year restaurant growth	10.5	40	20%	+8.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (106)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 13 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Bakery 9 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 27 · Bar 15 · Dessert 15 · Casual dining 12 · Café 11 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Fast casual 2 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 Points Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		134 Park Ave	open
Ali's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	979 N Leavitt Rd	open
Amherst VFW 1662	Bar		165 Cleveland Ave	open
Arabica Coffee House	Café	Coffee	254 Park Ave	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1951 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Bakery	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Bangin' BBQ	Food truck	BBQ · American		open
Barra Amherst	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	105 Park Ave	open
Barson Trucking & Garage	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		46185 Telegraph Rd	open
Big V's Ice Cream LLC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	46045 Telegraph Rd	open
Blue Sky Restaurant Blue Sky Oia Santorini	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	917 N Leavitt Rd	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	700 N Leavitt Rd	open
Body Love Wellness Studio	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	944 Amchester Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Captain's Club	Bar		232 Park Ave	open
Cedar Pub	Bar		200 Park Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	901 N Leavitt Rd	open
Church Street Bar & Grille	Bar		300 Church St	open
CM BEEZ Tea & Honey Haven	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	275 S Main St	open
Cole's Public House	Bar · Casual dining		209 S Main St	open
Commando Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	254 Park Ave	open
Cork Tree Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		209 S Main Stree	open
Cork's and Stubby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	209 S Main St	open
D'tutanelli's Pizza-amherst	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	103 Milan Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7502 Leavitt Rd	open
De Los Angeles Bakery & Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2263 Kresge Dr	open
Debbie's Custom Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	168 Rainbow Dr	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	900 N Leavitt Rd	open
Doc Watson's Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	275 S Main St	open
Don Tequila Amherst	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2269 Kresge Dr	open
Don Tequila's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2255 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
East of Chicago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	102 N Lake St	open
ESP Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		8055 Leavitt Rd	open
Farmers Boy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	46323 Telegraph Rd	open
For the love of ice cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2265 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
ForestHill Farmstand	Food truck		112 Forest Hill Dr	open
Fridas Taqueria and Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	249 Church St	open
Ghost Tree Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	300 Church St	open
Golden Crown Amherst	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2292 Kresge Dr	open
Grab ‘n Go Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	46388 Telegraph Rd	open
Great Steak	Quick service		7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Hastee Tastee	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	466 Cleveland Ave	open
Hershey's Ice Cream Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Chinese · Chicken / wings · Bakery · Cajun, Creole, Southern	46402 Middle Ridge Rd	open
Hershey's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Horvath's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Hot Dog Heaven	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	493 Cleveland Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		2271 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Jilliano's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2275 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2235 Kresge Dr	open
Jin House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2255 Kresge Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	407 N. Leavitt Road	open
Kiedrowski's Simply Delicious Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2267 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Krieg's Frozen Custard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	46045 Telegraph Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7580 Leavitt Rd	open
Little Devil Cupcakery	Bakery	Bakery	103 Milan Ave Ste 5	open
Mama Jo Homestyle Pies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1969 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 N Leavitt Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	500 N Leavitt Rd	open
Meatball Obsessn 4oh06	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Moosehead Bbq Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7660 Leavitt Rd	open
Mr. Hero Mr Hero Mansfield Ohio	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	919 N Leavitt Rd	open
Msa Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		917 N Leavitt Rd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert	Dessert	7574 Oak Point Rd	open
Oh-Ky Adc Of Bricklayers	Quick service		8497 Leavitt Rd	open
Ohio Service Plaza	Quick service			open
Olde Town Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	195 Cleveland Ave	open
Panera Bread	Café	Coffee	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	8000 Oak Point Drive	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Coffee shop · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café	Coffee · Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	46402 Middle Ridge Road	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2271 kresge drive	open
Park Lanes In Amherst	Bar		249 Park Ave	open
Partner Pack Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		493 Cleveland Ave	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8000 Oak Point Rd	open
Quarry Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	161 Park Ave	open
Quesadillas Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		249 Church St	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	938 North Leavitt Road	open
Right Track Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	138 Park Ave	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	614 N. Leavitt Road	open
Sal & Al's Diner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2261 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Siddhi Ganesh Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		175 N Leavitt Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	46402 Ohio Turnpike Plz Vermillion Va Lley	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	7998 Leavitt Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8000 Oak Point Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	46401 Ohio Tpke	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7582 Leavitt Rd	open
Sugar Riot Bakery	Bakery	Bakery		open
Sundays Plus	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	8040 Quarry Rd	open
Suzin L. Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	2273 Cooper Foster Park Rd	open
Sweets By Maggie	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7660 Leavitt Rd Ste C	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	940 North Leavitt Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	47370 Cooper Foster Park Road	open
TCBY	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Chicken / wings	7886 Leavitt Rd	open
The Brew Kettle Amherst	Brewery / taproom		300 Church St	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 N Leavitt Rd	open
The Golf Lounge	Bar		136B Park Ave	open
The Pour House	Bar		134 Park Ave	open
Trainwreck Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		515 W Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	604 North Levitt	open
Whiskeyville Still N Grill - South Amherst, OH	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	518 W Main St	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	933 N. Leavitt Rd	open
Wolf's Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom		50738 OH-113	open
Wonderland Sips-sweets-scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	201 Park Ave	open
Your Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	395 Park Ave	open
Ziggy's Pub and Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	193 Park Ave	open
Amherst Pit Bbq & Pub Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 Jefferson St	closed
Makes Enterprise Dba Michaels Auto &amp Truck Repair	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Millstone Ln	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	46	37	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	42	35	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	49	34	—	—	—	15	SIC1987
1997	45	33	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1998	49	36	12	19	4	11	NAICS1997
1999	48	35	12	18	4	10	NAICS1997
2000	50	36	12	19	4	11	NAICS1997
2001	48	36	12	18	4	9	NAICS1997
2002	50	36	9	20	7	11	NAICS1997
2003	49	38	12	21	5	9	NAICS2002
2004	47	37	12	20	5	8	NAICS2002
2005	46	36	11	20	5	8	NAICS2002
2006	45	34	10	18	6	9	NAICS2002
2007	49	40	12	23	4	7	NAICS2002
2008	47	37	13	18	4	6	NAICS2007
2009	47	37	14	17	5	6	NAICS2007
2010	52	42	14	22	5	6	NAICS2007
2011	55	45	16	21	7	7	NAICS2007
2012	48	40	13	18	8	5	NAICS2012
2013	49	40	14	18	7	6	NAICS2012
2014	46	38	13	19	6	5	NAICS2012
2015	45	38	12	19	7	4	NAICS2012
2016	48	40	13	19	8	4	NAICS2012
2017	53	44	13	22	9	4	NAICS2017
2018	50	43	13	25	5	3	NAICS2017
2019	53	46	15	25	6	3	NAICS2017
2020	52	44	15	23	6	3	NAICS2017
2021	50	43	14	24	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	47	42	15	23	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	49	42	15	23	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44001. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44053	4.8 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.