BMIE Market 44053
Lorain County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,084 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,256 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,511 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $67,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $898 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $206,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44053 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +40.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +72.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +82.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +6.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 31–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44053. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 66.8 | 67 | 40% | +26.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.4 | 69 | 35% | +24.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 85.9 | 86 | 25% | +21.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,084 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,484 | 43 | 40% | +17.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,900 | 83 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 72.2 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.7 | 54 | 25% | +13.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,084 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,484 | 43 | 20% | +8.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 40.9 | 88 | 50% | +43.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 72.2 | 88 | 30% | +26.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 82.4 | 78 | 20% | +15.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 16 · Sandwiches 10 · Burgers 7 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Mexican 5 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 19 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agaves Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4340 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Amherst Quiznos | Quick service | Sandwiches | 1980 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open |
| Amherst Crumbl Cookies | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 7420 Oak Point Rd, Ste B, Lorain, Ohio 44053 | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4320 Leavitt Road | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 5494 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Bbb Holding Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4326 Leavitt Rd Ste A | open | |
| Beaver House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6000 W Erie Ave | open |
| BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5320 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Brew and Stew Cleveland Clinic | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5700 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open |
| Brown Bag Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4326 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1900 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Campana Development | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6145 Park Square Dr | open | |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 5305 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 5305 Leavitt Road | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5400 Leavitt Rd | open |
| China One Buffet | Buffet | 1990 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open | |
| Chris' Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 2812 W Erie Ave | open |
| Cooper Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1408 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open |
| Detroit Wing Company Detroit Wing Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3000 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open |
| Disabled American Veterans | Bar | 3543 Pickett Rd | open | |
| Diso's Bistro at All Nations | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4286 Oberlin Ave | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 4200 Kolbe Rd | open |
| El Arriero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2532 W Erie Ave | open |
| Eliseo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3352 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Exhale Hooka Lounge | Bar | 4300 Oberlin Ave | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3000 Cooper Foster Park Rd W | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5301 N. Leavitt Rd | open |
| Humbertos Tacos Food Truck | Food truck | Mexican | 4340 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Hunan King Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3317 Oberlin Ave | open |
| La Familia del Otoao, LLC | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 4355 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Lenoci's Spaghetti House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5520 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5301 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1420 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Lorain Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 5379 W Erie Ave | open |
| Lorain's Burgers & Fried Chicken The Original Steaks and Hoagies - Medina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Steakhouse · Burgers · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · American | 4310 N Leavitt Rd A | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6400 Middle Ridge Rd | open |
| Mutt and Jeff's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3700 Oberlin Ave | open | |
| New York Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | American · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4290 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Nickles Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3215 W 21st St | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | 2800 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open | |
| Papasitos and Beer Mexican Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2532 W Erie Ave | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 2900 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Pho Ever | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 4290 OBERLIN Ave | open |
| Pine Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 2519 W 21st St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2300 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Ponderosa Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 4743 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Zanesville | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5301 Leavitt Rd | open |
| QinFen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5377 W Erie Ave | open |
| Quiznos Quiznos | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1980 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Romeo's Pizza Romeo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1980 Cooper Foster Park Rd | open |
| Rose Cafe | Café | Coffee | 6075 Middle Ridge Rd | open |
| Ryans Bar | Bar | open | ||
| SCRISH BAR | Bar | 4400 Woodcrest Ct | open | |
| Snack Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 6000 W Erie Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 7420 Oak Point Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4310 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4380 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3360 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3671 Oberlin Ave | open |
| The Beachcliff Diner | Casual dining | American | 2405 W Erie Ave | open |
| The Derby Bar And Grill Menu | Casual dining · Bar | 5445 Beavercrest Dr | open | |
| Time Out Tavern | Bar | 3320 Oberlin Ave | open | |
| Walmart Deli | Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service | Sandwiches · Bakery | 4380 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Wood Boyz BBQ | Quick service · Food truck | BBQ | West Erie Ave | open |
| Đức Long | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5520 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Kerr Beverage Co. | Café | Coffee | 3709 W Erie Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 35 | 29 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 30 | 25 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 32 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 27 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 33 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 12 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 23 | 11 | 12 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 22 | 13 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 24 | 12 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 29 | 12 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |