BMIE Market 44052
Lorain County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,282 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,850 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,911 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $45,023 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $116,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,488 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44052 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +28.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +10.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 30–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44052. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 56.8 | 57 | 40% | +22.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.6 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.0 | 71 | 25% | +17.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,282 | 88 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,023 | 10 | 40% | +3.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,980 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.3 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,282 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,023 | 10 | 20% | +2.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 85 | 50% | +42.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28 | 70 | 30% | +20.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
American 16 · Pizza 14 · Burgers 9 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Caribbean 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Bar 18 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 9 · Café 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th Street Diner | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Bakery · Breakfast · American | 400 Broadway | open |
| Awol | Bar | 201 W 5th St | open | |
| Baked By The Lake | Bakery | Bakery | 5090 Broadway Ave | open |
| Bascule Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 1397 Colorado Ave | open | |
| Biggy's Pub & Eatery | Bar | 1755 Oberlin Ave | open | |
| Boarders Board Game Cafe | Café | Coffee | 712 Broadway | open |
| Boiler Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 500 Shipyard Way | open | |
| Broadway Grill & Games | Casual dining · Bar | American | 301 Broadway | open |
| Broadway Mary’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 930 Broadway Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2224 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3451 Colorado Ave Unit B | open |
| Cakes By The Lake | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 301 Broadway | open |
| Campana Sauces | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 201 W 8th St | open |
| Campana's Pizza Market & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 203 W 8th St | open |
| Castro Brothers Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 900 Broadway | open | |
| Charleston Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 630 Broadway | open |
| Chicken Galore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2229 W 21st St | open | |
| Crooked Leaf Cigar Lounge | Bar | 600 Broadway | open | |
| Dairy Queen | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 903 E Erie Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 445 Broadway Ave | open |
| Driftwood Wine Co | Bar | 209 W 5th St | open | |
| El Kefon Puertoriqueno | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1836 Broadway | open |
| EL PEGAO | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 204 W 5th St | open |
| El Tech And More | Bar | 1039 Bridge Dr | open | |
| Elks B P O Lodge 1301 | Bar | 203 W 6th St | open | |
| Five Alarm Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1903 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Fresh in five Halal food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 228 E Erie Ave | open |
| Ghoulardis Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 770 Broadway | open | |
| Golden Crown Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 449 W Fourth St | open |
| Great Lakes Smoked Meats | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · BBQ | 1824 Broadway | open |
| Grill 2 go | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 329 E 21st St | open |
| Gyros & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · American | 1515 Broadway | open |
| Happy's Pizza The Official Happy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3002 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Harbourtown Provisions, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 422 Broadway | open | |
| Jackalope Lakeside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 301 Lakeside Ave | open |
| K Cream Korner | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1207 W Erie Ave | open |
| K-Cream Parlour | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 903 E Erie Ave | open |
| Knights on Kansas | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1620 Kansas Ave | open | |
| Krizzbeez Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3451 Colorado Ave | open |
| La Casa Del Mofongo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1518 Long Ave | open |
| Lorain Brewing Company and Event Center | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 500 Shipyard Wy | open | |
| Madi B’s Scratch Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 657 Broadway | open |
| Magdalen’s Gallery + Espresso | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 633 Broadway | open |
| Mama J's Homestyle Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2001 Broadway | open |
| Mangine's Cafe | Bar · Café | Coffee · American | 229 Colorado Ave | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2311 Colorado Avenue | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2130 N Leavitt Rd | open |
| Marta’s N more | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 400 Broadway | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3221 Oberlin Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1725 Henderson Drive | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 265 Maine Ave | open | |
| Mi Casa Sabor Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 2229 W 21st St | open |
| Mr. Hero Mr Hero Mansfield Ohio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · American | 1150 Tower Blvd | open |
| Mr. Hero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · American | 717 E Erie Ave | open |
| New Hunan Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1142 W 37th St | open |
| Off Shore Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1407 Colorado Ave | open | |
| Olde Towne Charleston | Bar | 651 Broadway | open | |
| Papa John's Papa John's | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 3047 COLORADO AVE | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3047 Colorado Ave | open |
| Papasitos Broadway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 105 W Fourth St | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3002 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3490 Colorado Ave | open |
| Pizza Pan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1342 Leavitt Rd | open |
| Port of Lorain | Other | Sandwiches | open | |
| Red Parrot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 538 Broadway | open | |
| Rosecafe at Lakeview Beach | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 1800 W Erie Ave | open |
| Santa City | Bar | 500 Shipyard Way | open | |
| Scorchers Casual Eatery & Draft House | Casual dining · Bar | 900 Broadway | open | |
| Selenti's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 808 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Shipyard Brewing Company Llc D/b/a Shipyard Brewing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 520 Broadway Ste 3 | open | |
| Smash | Food truck · Catering | Pizza | 1143 W Erie Ave | open |
| Soul On Fire - Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 3819 Oberlin Ave | open |
| Speak of the Devil | Bar | 201 W 5th St | open | |
| Spectrum Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · American | 300 Broadway | open |
| Spectrum Catering | Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Coffee | 300 Broadway Ste 202 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7570 Oak Point Rd The Shops at Deerfield | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 301 E Erie Ave | open |
| Sweet Pork Wilson's Lakeside (Lorain) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 301 Lakeside Ave #1 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1390 Colorado Avenue | open |
| The Anchor Lorain | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 301 Broadway | open |
| The Dungeon & La Bodega | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Fast casual · Casual dining | Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 639 Broadway | open |
| Trent's Joint on the River | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 138 Alabama Ave | open | |
| Union Town Provisions | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 422 Broadway | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1410 Colorado Ave | open |
| Wow Foods Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 939 Broadway | open | |
| Bootleggers Den | Bar | 538 Broadway | closed | |
| Zala's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 203 W 8th St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 29 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 38 | 32 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 38 | 30 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 43 | 35 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 47 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 50 | 38 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 36 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 43 | 32 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 30 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 46 | 30 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 44 | 31 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 32 | 11 | 18 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 38 | 26 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 27 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 37 | 26 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 25 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 25 | 3 | 19 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 19 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 26 | 4 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 19 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 31 | 6 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |