BMIE Market 44055

Lorain County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,440 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,846 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,509 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$40,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,544 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$873 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$101,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,880 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44055
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-31.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44055. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.6	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.8	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	61.1	61	25%	+15.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,043	81	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	40,636	6	40%	+2.6
Households (ACS)	8,440	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.5	90	25%	+22.5
Population (ACS)	20,043	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	40,636	6	20%	+1.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 18 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
440 Sports Lounge	Bar		2217 E 28th St	open
Barcode Barandgrille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2156 E 28th St	open
Bowling Lanes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2915 Broadway Ave	open
Bubba's Bubba's 33	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Chicken / wings	1632 E 28th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2210 Fairless Dr	open
Cathy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2115 N Ridge Rd	open
Dale's	Bar · Casual dining		2212 E 28th St	open
Darmos Cafe	Bar · Café	Coffee	2244 E 28th St	open
Dart's Lounge	Bar		1840 E 28th St	open
El Borimex Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1904 E 28th St	open
Familia Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1628 E 28th St	open
Giovannis Pizza Giovanni's Fairborn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2936 Grove Ave	open
Hanko's Gin Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	41573 N Ridge Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		5411 Pearl Avenue	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3004 Broadway	open
Lorain Pastelillo House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	1700 E 31st St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1957 N Ridge Rd E	open
Nettie's Place	Bar · Casual dining	American	3680 Pearl Ave	open
Open Hearth Club	Bar		1724 E 28th St	open
Pop N' Johnny's Food Truck	Food truck		2089 N Ridge Rd	open
Rainbow Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	2901 Pearl Ave	open
Richard Old Skool Lounge	Bar		1804 E 28th St	open
Richards Premier Lounge	Bar		2062 E 28th St	open
Rosie's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3113 Broadway	open
Saints & Sinners Restaurant and Lounge	Bar		3734 Pearl Ave	open
Smoked Out	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4217 Charleston Ave	open
Southeners	Bar	American	2918 Pearl Ave	open
St Lads	Bar		4221 Clinton Ave	open
STEEL CITY LOUNGE	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1764 E 28th St	open
Steel Magnolia Restaurant LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	124 W 28th St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2217 East 42nd Street	open
The Grown & Sexy Lounge	Bar		1656 E 28th St	open
Three Star Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1806 E 28th St	open
Tienda La San Luis inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop		3045 Clinton Ave	open
Zulus Mc Lorain Oh	Bar · Quick service		504 E 28th St	open
R & J Southern Style Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 E 28th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	16	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1995	26	15	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	23	13	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	26	17	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	21	15	4	7	4	5	NAICS1997
1999	25	16	5	8	3	8	NAICS1997
2000	22	12	3	7	2	9	NAICS1997
2001	23	14	3	8	3	8	NAICS1997
2002	25	15	5	7	3	10	NAICS1997
2003	22	15	5	8	2	7	NAICS2002
2004	23	14	5	7	2	9	NAICS2002
2005	16	10	3	5	2	6	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	4	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	4	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	10	3	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	8	1	6	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	1	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	9	—	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44055. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44052	2.5 mi	32	2023
44054	3.4 mi	11	2023
44035	4.4 mi	106	2023
44053	4.6 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.