BMIE Market 44057
Lake County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,445 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,868 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,470 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $75,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $180,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 50.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44057 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +59.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 36–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 71.0 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.1 | 59 | 35% | +20.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 63.2 | 63 | 25% | +15.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,445 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,615 | 56 | 40% | +22.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,868 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18 | 43 | 25% | +10.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,445 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,615 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.4 | 67 | 50% | +33.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 30% | +18.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 40 | 58 | 20% | +11.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (79)
By cuisine
Pizza 11 · American 9 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Asian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bar 21 · Casual dining 14 · Winery / distillery / taproom 13 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1601 Great Lakes Way | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6616 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Baci Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 7800 Warner Rd | open | |
| Baking Bits | Bakery | Bakery | 6834 Chapel Rd | open |
| BrewStreaks Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 6710 Lake Rd | open | |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6634 N Ridge Rd | open | |
| Cask 307 Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 7259 Warner Rd | open | |
| Cebars Madison Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 6884 N Ridge Rd | open | |
| Compadres Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1410 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Cornerstone Brewing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 W Main St | open | |
| Daily Bread Sourdough Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 50 W Main St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1907 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Dean's Family Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6080 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2707 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 5 E Main St | open |
| Don Tequila Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2593 Walter Greens Commons Dr | open |
| Double Wing Brewing Co. Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar | 7840 Doty Rd | open | |
| Drizzled, Dipped, And Dunked | Dessert | Dessert | 42 W Main St | open |
| Duffy's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 60 W Main St | open | |
| Emerita Winery LLC | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5631 Ledge Rd | open | |
| Flagship Craft Cocktails and Eatery | Casual dining · Bar | 70 W Main St | open | |
| Flying Burrito Cantina & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1410 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Fossil Creek Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 5807 Chardon-Madison Rd | open | |
| Frog Hollar Farms LLC | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 6217 River Rd | open |
| Froyo Shop Food Truck | Food truck · Dessert · Catering | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2709 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Gaja Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1409 Hubbard Rd | open | |
| Georgio's Oven Fresh Pizza Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6659 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Grand River Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 5750 S Madison Rd | open | |
| Heavenly Safe Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 50 W Main St | open |
| His Majesty's On The Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 63 W Main St | open | |
| Jade Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1971 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Joey's Italian Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 2731 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Karen's Holiday Pizza, Ice Cream, Subs & More | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Pizza | 1362 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Kay Jack Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 60 W Main St | open |
| Kay Jack Pizza - Madison | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Bakery | 1940 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Laurentia Vineyard Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4599 S Madison Rd | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6590 NORTH RIDGE RD | open |
| Longo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2731 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Mad Town Nutrition | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 1977 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Madison Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1947 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Madison Taphouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 1421 Hubbard Rd | open | |
| Maggie's Doughnuts | Bakery | Bakery | 42 W Main St | open |
| Main Street Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 104 W Main St | open |
| Maple Ridge Vineyard LLC | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6326 Dewey Rd | open | |
| Mary's Diner Mary's Diner - Geneva | Casual dining | American | 2600 Green Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 559 River St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6626 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Monarca Ice Cream and Coffee | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 2709 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Mr. Hero Madison Mr Hero Mansfield Ohio | Quick service | Sandwiches · Burgers | 6663 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Natural Remi-Teas | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 15 N Lake St | open |
| Natural Remi-Teas | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 6432 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Open Door Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 26 W Main St #3126 | open |
| Osaka Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 30 W Main St | open |
| Parker's Pit Stop Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1951 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Pickle Bill's Lobster House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 101 River St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 6640 N Ridge Rd Lake | open |
| Pizza Roto | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 560 River St | open |
| Pulp Juice & Smoothie Bar Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Zanesville | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2715 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Quigley's Squarerigger Saloon | Bar | 106 N Lake St | open | |
| Reihner Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6710 Lake Rd | open | |
| Romans IV | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1409 Hubbard Rd | open |
| Silver Crest Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4511 Bates Rd | open | |
| Stonegait Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4275 Bates Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6700 North Ridge Road | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 6067 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 6568 North Ridge Road | open |
| Terri's Main Street Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 230 W Main St | open |
| The 528 Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 111 N Lake St | open |
| The BBB Madison Ohio | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6591 Lake Rd W | open | |
| The Haunted Winery & Corn Maze | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2678 N County Line Rd | open | |
| The Ox Shoppe Cafe | Café · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 6661 N Ridge Rd | open |
| The Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 7924 N Ridge Rd | open | |
| The Red Berry's Candy Store | Dessert | Dessert | 3096 Hubbard Rd | open |
| The Wagon Wheel Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1388 Hubbard Rd | open | |
| Vincent William Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1300 Belleair Ave | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6598 N Ridge Rd | open |
| Wild Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 125 N Lake St | open |
| Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 7800 Warner Rd | open | |
| Yun Tung Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6592 N Ridge Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 22 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 20 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 26 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 38 | 30 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 35 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 24 | 12 | 12 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 36 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 32 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 33 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 33 | 19 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 37 | 18 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 40 | 17 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 35 | 14 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44081 | 4.3 mi | 6 | 2023 |