BMIE Market 44140

Cuyahoga County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,651 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,436 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$132,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$353,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44140
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+114.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+87.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44140. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.9	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.5	73	35%	+25.7
Market Momentum Score	55.7	56	25%	+13.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,984	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	132,254	93	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	6,142	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.4	59	35%	+20.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.4	75	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	15,984	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	132,254	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	15.4	59	30%	+17.7
20-year restaurant growth	114.3	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
583 Bistro	Casual dining		583 Dover Center Rd	open
A Luncheon Time Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		640 Dover Center Rd	open
Arrabiata's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	600 Dover Center Rd	open
Bay Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	660 Dover Center Rd	open
Bay Provisions	Coffee shop	Coffee	328 Bassett Rd	open
Boss ChicknBeer Bay Boss ChicknBeer	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings	27321 Wolf Rd	open
Buzz-Works	Bar		500 Dover Center Rd	open
Chatty's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	28611 Lake Rd	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	27241 Wolf Rd	open
DQ / Orange Julius Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	618 Dover Center Rd	open
Fragapane Bakeries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	626 Dover Center Rd	open
Georgio's Oven Fresh Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	622 Dover Center Rd	open
Gina's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	622 Dover Center Rd	open
Green Farm Juicery Cleveland	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	27245 Wolf Rd	open
Greenisland	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		25517 Eaton Way	open
Hearth Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	297 Bradley Rd	open
Honey Hut Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	28624 Lake Rd	open
J.R. Meehan's	Bar		27020 Wolf Rd	open
Java Bay	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	27225 Wolf Rd	open
Malley's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	590 Dover Center Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	25523 Eaton Way	open
Mojo's Coffee and More	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	600 Dover Center Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	380 Dover Center Rd Cuyahoga	open
Smokin' Rock n' Roll	Catering · Food truck	BBQ	623 Clague Pkwy	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	27237 Wolf Rd	open
Thyme Table	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		583 Dover Center Rd	open
Trust Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	27225 Wolf Rd	open
Vento la Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	28611 Lake Rd	open
Village Rose Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	328 Bassett Rd	open
Wolf & Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	27217 Wolf Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	1	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	1	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	2	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	2	4	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	2	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	4	5	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	5	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44140. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44145	2.6 mi	100	2023
44116	4.0 mi	64	2023
44012	4.6 mi	36	2023
44011	4.9 mi	64	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.